Michael Moore was a lone voice in the wilderness in 2016. It was an era where everybody predicted a Clinton win. Nate Silver had Hillary’s chances at 71.4% and Daily Kos had it at a solid 96% occasionally rising to 98%, ho hum. Many Democrats, myself included, stopped worrying about the presidential election altogether and concentrated on down ballot races. That made perfect sense at the time. We were on the Titanic and headed for the iceberg and utterly oblivious to that fact.
One man who wasn’t was Michael Moore. If you didn’t read Five Reasons Trump Will Win on Moore’s Facebook page (and later republished many places) in July, 2016 do so now. You will see that the man had a complete handle on the political situation that the rest of us did not. It’s a brilliant piece. Here is a sampling.
Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER!
And this is where the math comes in. In 2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. Add up the electoral votes cast by Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It’s 64. All Trump needs to do to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do, the swath of traditional red states from Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And that will put him over the top. This is how it will happen in November.
I wish I’d been listening more to Michael Moore and less to Daily Kos and Nate Silver, to be blunt. In my dream world, Hillary had both Pennsylvania and Florida. And I didn’t know until after the fact that the Democratic National Party had in effect abandoned Michigan and wasn’t putting any funding there. And then none of us knew about the Russian bots posing as the neighbors on Facebook. I could go on and on. My point here is to establish how dead right Michael Moore was at the time and dear God, let him be as right in his predictions today.
Moore is saying, in essence, that we have a blue tsunami in store for us next month. Salon via Raw Story:
Moore isn’t just echoing the widespread notion that Democrats could hold the Senate while losing the House. He is suggesting that voters “are going to descend upon the polls en masse — a literal overwhelming, unprecedented tsunami of voters — and nonviolently, legally, and without mercy remove every last stinking traitor to our Democracy.”
That prediction is likely to cause hyperventilation at all points of the political spectrum. Could he really be right?
To make his point, Moore is going beyond armchair punditry and sending out what he is calling a “tsunami of truth,” where each day leading up to the election he offers one specific factual reason why he is right and why it makes sense to be optimistic.
If an 18-year-old high school student can beat a Republican incumbent in Boise, Idaho, Moore argues, something is happening that the media can’t see.]
In his second installment, he covered the story of the recent election for the Boise Board of Education, in which Republican Steve Schmidt, an incumbent, was up for re-election. Considering that Trump won Idaho’s capital city with 73 percent of the vote, it made sense to assume Schmidt would win again. But as Moore explains, Schmidt had been endorsed by a far-right extremist group, the Idaho Liberty Dogs, that led a campaign against the local library, calling their LGBTQ+ and sex ed materials “smut-filled pornography.” According to Moore, they even showed up at local Extinction Rebellion climate strikes brandishing AR-15 assault rifles.
So in a surprising turn of events, the Idaho Statesman, Boise’s daily news paper, chose not to endorse Schmidt because he refused to denounce the Idaho Liberty Dogs. Instead, the paper endorsed his opponent, an 18-year-old high school senior and progressive activist, Shiva Rajbhandari, who was also co-founder of the Boise chapter of Extinction Rebellion.
Rajbhandari won. A teenager beat a Republican incumbent in a traditionally red city in one of the reddest states. Moore’s point is that if these kinds of seismic shifts are happening at the polls in Boise, there’s reason to think that this election won’t follow traditional patterns. Voters, he believes, have had enough of the power of right-wing extremists and the threat they pose to democratic values.
In his next “tsunami of truth,” Moore reminded readers that despite all the ways that the media tends to make the American right seem massively powerful, they’re really just a big bunch of losers. Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the eight last elections. As Moore explains it, “Only because of the slave states’ demand for the Electoral College — and the Republicans’ #1 job of gerrymandering and voter suppression — do we even have to still deal with their misogyny, their destruction of Planet Earth, their love of guns and greed, and their laser-focused mission to bury our Democracy.”
That leads to the next installment: Republicans will lose because this time around they are “running the biggest batch of nutters nationwide in American electoral history.” He then promises to offer a list of the top 10 “biggest whackadoodles on the Republican side of the ballot.”
No. 10 on Moore’s list is Mathew DePerno, Republican candidate for attorney general in Michigan. Like nine other candidates in the 30 state attorney general races this fall, DePerno is an election denier. But he’s not just a common, garden-variety election denier; he was allegedly personally involved in a voting system breach. That’s right: the Republican candidate who hopes to become Michigan’s top law enforcement official is under investigation by the current attorney general for “unauthorized access to voting equipment.”
But that isn’t the half of it. DePerno also thinks that the Plan B birth control pill is a “form of murder.” Moore explains that DePerno “believes that ‘life’ doesn’t begin at conception — he insists it begins BEFORE conception and it should be against the law for anyone to interrupt a sperm on its way to do its ‘job.'” As if that weren’t enough to categorize DePerno as batshit extreme, he has attacked his opponent with memes that include the white supremacist symbol of Pepe the Frog while comparing his campaign to delivering Michiganders a “really big red pill.” Not a Plan B pill, which he likens to fentanyl.
Moore is dead on correct about the level of nut jobs running on the GOP ticket. This is the direct result of the Trump phenomenon, the guy who’s going to throw the Molotov cocktail at the establishment. Now we’ve got dozens of them, in every state, openly declaring their intentions of overthrowing the government once they get into office. Just this weekend the Republican Secretary of State candidate in Nevada, Jim Marchant, announced that he would rally other election denying secretaries of state and restore Trump to the White House, if elected. This promise was delivered to a rally of MAGA/QAnons.
And Moore is right about the slave states and their antiquated electoral college, a mechanism which was developed 240 some years ago to appease them. The Republicans keep losing the electoral vote and they are painfully aware of the fact, obviously. The electoral college and dirty tactics, like voter suppression and gerrymandering, are their only survival. And they know that. Add to that being MAGA crazy, and this is the state of the GOP in 2022. Meanwhile, a lot of the reasonable voices of the GOP, Nebraska senator Ben Sasse and Ohio Rep Anthony Gonzales, to name two, are resigning from politics. How can you blame them?
I will be following Michael Moore’s Tsunami of Truth religiously. I’ll report on it here. Maybe he’s right. If he’s just half as right as he was in 2016, I will be over the moon.
Either America is still America and I’m banking that it is, or we are outnumbered by the crazies and democracy is gone. It really is that simple.






















Right now, here in Texas, we are seeing ads showing one of the Uvalde moms who lost their child in the school shooting. She states that Abbott has done nothing to prevent the next tragedy, so she is voting for Beto. I am hoping this is representative of a lot of hispanic people. Another example is the vote in Kansas to keep abortion rights in their state constitution. I am hoping these are examples of movements and issues the mainstream media may not be picking up on.
You’re exactly spot on. These are the kind of phenomena that Moore is talking about and which run totally counterintuitive to the GOP delusion that everybody in this country wants abortion to be illegal, more guns, all of that.
My prayer is that this November will show the profound disconnect between the GOP wish list and what real Americans actually want.
Ursula, I’m with you, Moore has always been a, “SAY EXACTLY what you think at any open moment”, kind of person … He NEVER minced any words, kind of rough and tough attitude, however, sometimes his quiet discussions, carried heavy loads of truth …
We have every reason to be concerned about our futures, being progressive in the battle against climate changes, WILL require a unified approach AND the longer we postpone, the more it will cost in permanent damages with NO RECOVERY …
Our local incumbent Republican Rep, up for re-election is fighting for dumbing up Federal Departments of checks and safety … all for the gods of money on hand, who are tired of paying fines, and charged with cleaning up their messes … the farming people out here are pushing for her re-election, as she is also working on making permanent laws to keep farmer insurances and crop protections in place, some of the worst and certainly dangerous run-offs into our rivers, comes from overworked black soil rapidly turning to gray clay, full of artificial nutrients and insecticides … No till, Organic farming of the old days, has come a long way, with very little in practice because of the mega farms out there … so many systems have been tried and proven, only to have the thousand and more acre farmers run the legislation makers into groups of hell no, no way …
The farmer labs were responsible for Agent Orange. which is still stored in barrels on a small island … so deadly and nearly no way to safely dispose of it, thanks to the Pentagon’s plans to de-forest Vietnam for landing strips and staging areas …
Our next door neighbor was a bomb loader on an aircraft carrier ship in Nam, where the tanks of AO, and the planes themselves all were raining down on his, crew the health problems he has and hundreds of others can be traced to the AO.
The notion that restrictions should be lifted from what is put in our soil and ends up within our lives and bodies is mind boggling …
ALARM!!!! Deperno’s logic means all you guys masturbating will soon be jailed for the hundreds of millions of potential lives YOU ARE WASTING!!! I guess the Catholic church will endorse him. Michael Moore is a genius from the rust belt working class.
“every sperm is sacred”…(all hail the Pythons for they know the truth of human nature)
Anyhoo, Wondering if Dank Brandon did what should’ve been done long go by pardoning pot smokers non- schedule 1 (really!) offenses is to make room available for all the white supremacist terrorists who are here now and on the way in their death spiral of unwillingness to melt into the intentional fondue that we were meant to be.Mmmmm,fondue.
They should pardon ALL cannabis records as it was put in schedule 1 by Nixon to arrest antiwar protesters & black activists although it met NONE of the schedule 1 criteria. Haldeman admitted it on videotape. Millions criminalized by tobbaco users & alcohol drinkers in which those substances DO meet the criteria. Institutionalized hypocrisy!!!! And we wonder why we are where we are. I dont.
Exactly what Andy Borowotz said (about making room in federal prisons.)