The Democrats Are Tuning Their Message. Tsunami Alert!

History may not repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme   Will Rogers

This is getting interesting most riki-tik. There was what should have been a no brainer special election in a Tennessee congressional district that Traitor Tot won in 2024 by 22 pts. The Democrat ran a populist race, and ended up only losing tonight by 8 points. More important is the fact that the GOP had to spend millions of dollars in a race that should have been on cruise control.

Ah, this takes me back to both 2020 and 2024 in so many ways. For starters, in 2024, Emperor Numbus Nuttus ran on the Reagan oldie-but-moldy, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” The simple fact is and was a resounding YES! Of course we were better off than we were in the midst of a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic. But once again the Democrats botched the messaging, and grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory.

Here’s what I mean. Traitor Tot rammed through the message of some very simple numbers that he first cooked, and then took completely out of context to show Biden was f*cking up the economy. This was simple and easy to understand. The Democrats response? From first Biden, then Harris, and straight down the line, rather than talking to people, they lectured them, like this was some college economics course, complete with graphs guaranteed to cause MEGO, My Eyes Glaze Over. The economic lies put His Lowness back in the White House. And now they’re about to tank the GOP in 2026.

Because the Democrats have finally gotten their messaging sh*t together. For the last few months now, they have been very successfully hoisting El Pendejo Presidente and the GOP on their own economical petard. And they’re doing it without boring charts and eco-babble. They’re quoting simple numbers, and making simple comparisons people don’t need to research to understand.

For instance, they’re comparing simple numbers from December of 2024 to the same prices and products today. The economy was Traitor Tot’s entire 2024 platform, and today his approval rating on the economy stands at a pathetic 36%. And better yet, the GOP has no sane answer to this, not even an insane response that their drooling voters will fall for.

And now the TN Democratic House candidate took it to a new, truly nasty level. She found a way to tie the Epstein scandal to the economy. She kept hammering home that the GOP ruling donor class are nothing more or less than The Epstein Class. They’re so rich that they can do anything they want, and nothing will splash back on them. Now, tie that to price gouging and rising prices, you’ve got an unbeatable combo. Epstein is a total embarrassment to the GOP, and at this point, so are Traitor Tot and the economy.

So the Democrats finally seem to have learned the KISS rule, Keep It Simple Stupid, and it’s working. But now we flash all the way back to 2017-18 to see why this is shaping up to be another bloodbath for the GOP next November.

Back in early 2017, His Lowness named a passel of GOP House members to his cabinet and management positions, which meant a passel of special elections to replace them. And while the Democrats failed to flip a seat, they outperformed their GOP competition by an average of almost 27 points per election. In seats where the GOP incumbent cruised by 29 points, his replacement squeaked by with a margin of about 4.5%. This was the first sign of frigging in the rigging for the GOP in the midterms.

Now on to the 2017 off year elections in the states. In 2017 in Illinois, the Democrats flipped suburban and downstate seats they hadn’t controlled since the Civil War, and another they had never held. In Virginia the Democrats flipped the lower house, and came within one seat of flipping the Senate. New Jersey remained even more strongly blue. And the Democrats flipped 40 seats in the US House in 2018, opening the door to constant investigations and impeachments clogging the rest of Traitor Tot’s first term.

In 2025 the Democrats have once again outperformed GOP candidates for safe GOP seats by 20+ points, and even flipped the seat of the disgraced and disgraceful George Santos in New York. Virginia and New Jersey had blowout Democratic years, and the referendum in California to redistrict to offset the Texas tomfoolery was an even bigger blowout than anticipated. It doesn’t take a Hogwarts wizard to read these kind of tea leaves.

And here’s the other relevant 2017 comparison to keep in mind. Several weeks ago, as The approval ratings for Baron Von Schitzenpantz were tanking with economic numbers and an unpopular government shutdown, I noticed something that wasn’t quite yet a trend, but it was heading in that direction, and I warned y’all to keep an eye on it.

There is a standing rule in politics, losing as an incumbent is the kiss-of-death. Once you go to Washington, you’ll never go back to a part time state legislature job again. The sole exception might be Governor.

And so, if you’re in a US House or Senate seat, and all of the political winds of fortune are blowing directly in your face, including your own unbiased internal polling on the race coming up, the solution is simple. You retire. You retire for reasons of personal health, you retire to spend more time with your family, who cares why you do it. You go out on your own terms, and in 2-4 or 6 years you can run again against the Democrat that took what used to be your seat.

As I gleefully reported in 2017 and early 2018, there was a near record number of GOP incumbents, especially in the House that retired rather than face the prevailing winds. This is a potential disaster for two simple reasons,

• No incumbent of either party retires from congress for any other reason than to run for Governor in your home state. Serving in congress is the ultimate part time job, with unmatched perks. You didn’t work your way all the way up here to quit and get an actual job
• An incumbent has built in protections. Namely, name recognition, an established campaign organization, and a fundraising operation already in place. When an incumbent steps down, it means that the party, both state as well as national is going to have to spend time, money, and resources to help to prop up the unknown entity

We have already seen a half a dozen GOP House incumbents announce their retirement, and it’s only the first week of December. Most primaries won’t start until at least late February or March, but there are deadlines for candidates to submit their petitions to run in the primary. Therefore, most incumbents ditching the field will do so by late January, to allow candidates to file.

While you do your holiday shopping over the next few weeks, and throughout the holidays, keep an ear on MSNOW for a running count of the GOP defections. Safe incumbents don’t bail out, so you can take it to the bank that any retirements you hear about are now vulnerable seats in November. As I hear more, I’ll try to keep you updated.

I thank you for the privilege of your time.

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