Let the good times roll
When that rock starts rolling down hill, sometimes there’s just no stopping it. When the actual history of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is written 10 or 20 years from now, long after I’m dirt surfing, it will mark the end of Russia as an aggressive threat to the rest of Europe. It doesn’t really matter who ends up replacing Putin. Putin’s misguided invasion of Ukraine has exposed once vaunted Russian Bear as nothing more than a colicky Koala. As a Texan would say, All hat and no cattle.
Where to start, where to start? Let’s start here. Ukraine not only reported today that the city of Kharkiv had been liberated, they put out video. The city and suburbs are free of Russians. And then they showed a video that brought tears of joy to my eyes. A gaggle of Ukrainian soldiers, their assault weapons harnessed on their chests, literally walked up to the Ukraine-Russia border, stopped on their own side, extended their right hands, and shot birds into Russian territory. Personally, I think they could have wandered a mile in if they had wanted to.
Obviously Putin and the Russian army haven’t learned a goddamn thing. Overnight, at least six long range missiles were fired into Lviv in a misguided effort to terrify the population. I can only guess that Russia must be just about of long range, precision guided surface to surface missiles. Here’s why. Military intelligence estimated that the missiles were fired from Russian submarines in the Black Sea. Why waste seabourne assets if you have land based missiles that can do the same thing?
Military analysis shows that Russia is actually consolidating their troops in the Donbas region, rather than looking to break out, so that they don’t lose total control. Russia’s massive assault to break out of Donbas and head to the south to link up is dead in the water.
A couple of days ago, Finland formally filed an application to join NATO, and today Sweden followed suit. Word is that Norway and Denmark are considering their options. Putin reportedly went on to say that the actions posed no immediate military threat to the homeland, and that Moscow was reviewing appropriate punitive responses.
That is the voice of a total LOSER talking! Putin is completely bogged down in Ukraine, desperately looking to hold on to some land gains in Donbas and the south he can use as chips when he sues for peace. What would be his punitive response? Call up the other leaders and scream and yell at them? Military estimated are that Putin has lost more than 30% of his ground forces in Ukraine. I don’t just mean men, I mean tanks, APC’s, aircraft, helicopters, supply trucks, all the shit that make a modern army run. What is Putin going to do, invade them with the Trotsky Scouts?
This is why I say that Russia is now officially dead as a legitimate ground threat to Europe. Putin can’t even take out Ukraine, and they’re not even NATO members. There are already 30 members of NATO. Take a look at a map of Europe, and look at the NATO members. They were already encircling Russia on 3 sides. And now Finland, who shares an 830 mile border with Russia, and Sweden are all in. Once he backs out of Ukraine, there’s nobody left in Europe for Putin to attack without invoking Article 5.
While neither Finland nor Sweden are NATO members, both are NATO partners. As such, they trade information and common security data with each other. Both have well equipped, modern militaries, and both take part regularly in NATO military exercises. Becoming members of NATO allows NATO to add infrastructure like extended runways to allow for military C-17’s to land, radar facilities, and expanded intelligence sharing capabilities. Denmark and Norway are on deck.
Putin’s sole goal and dream was to reestablish the glory of the former Soviet Union. Invading and annexing Ukraine was the first step. Instead, he has turned Russia into an international pariah, and they will never regain their former stature in the world. Because at the core of it, Russia has nothing to sell except oil and natural gas. And his misguided war with Ukraine has finally motivated Europe to wean off of both. And once they’re gone, they ain’t coming back. Stand up and take a bow, fool!