Donald is not having a good week. Not a tall a tall. First there were those soldiers that got lost or something, and then they were reported dead and the enemy of the people actually believe this is a serious issue that a president should be aware of (like poor Donald can be expected to know everything?) And then Mike and Pete effed up that Signal thingy and Donald was expected to know about that, too. Pete said he would bluster his way out of it, not to worry, but instead things got worse. Now it turns out Pete’s dragging his wife to private conferences with senators and national security people. What’s up with that? But worse of all, the Morning Consult poll reported that Donald’s approval rating amonst Blacks has plummeted 27%. WTF?
Since our first post-inauguration survey in January, Trump’s net approval rating has fallen 27 percentage points among Black voters, who are now 47 points more likely to disapprove than approve of how he’s doing his job, 72% to 24%.
Trump’s numbers have similarly dropped among millennials, who are now equally likely to give him positive and negative marks after favoring his approach by 22 points in January.
All of this has contributed to Trump’s worst approval rating so far in the nine weeks of surveys we’ve conducted since he took office earlier this year, leaving him at a similar position to where he was exactly eight years ago during his first term.
Trump is now at a (-17) net approval rating with Gen Z, a net (-2) with Gen X, a net (-4) with Baby Boomers, and his net (0) rating with Millenials is actually his best one with any age group.
When net zero is an achievement it is time to seriously recalibrate. What is interesting here is that the handwriting is becoming increasingly clear that the Trump honeymoon is over. Trump was thrilled to be reelected, probably more so than any candidate in history because he’s the only candidate that ever was slated to attend three criminal trials (federal) and one state criminal trial in the event that he lost. So his relief was palpable.
But he played his cards stupidly. He immediately got way out over his skiis. He decided that his 1.5% victory was a “mandate.” It was not. It was a 1.5% victory which to anybody sane would be a blinking yellow light, proceed with caution. Not Donald. He saw this as an open freeway in the west, in Wyoming or rural Nevada, where you can speed like crazy because you might not encounter another car for a couple of hundred miles.
Trump squeaked by because enough people believed he would fix the economy. He said it was so simple. Those grocery prices were going to plummet, and just a few minutes after he made that one phone call to Zelensky and Putin and put that matter to rest, on day one. You heard him. Many times in fact, he said these exact things.
Nothing has happened except to get worse, in both foreign policy, the Ukraine war, and the economy. And Trump, true to form, now obliviously has embarked on this mad tariff scheme of his and also true to form, the markets are seesawing drunkenly. At least for now. Expect them to stay down.
Because of systemic inequality in the American economic system many black voters are more susceptible to economic shifts, and they are often the polling canary in the coal mine on the economy, so when this group of voters plummets in their support it is a sign of larger attitudes that are likely to sweep over the rest of the electorate.
The “diverse coalition” that the media claims Trump built was never really about Trump.
It was about an electorate in 2024 that was mainly tuned out and liked the idea of a quick fix for inflation and costs.
Black voters are wrecking Trump’s approval rating because of his unpopular policies and the damage that he is causing.
Trump’s numbers are likely to get much worse because, in the current era, presidential honeymoons tend to be shorter, and their declines are even steeper.
Donald Trump has returned to his traditional position of being an anchor around the necks of Republicans when he is not on the ballot.
Trump’s 20-point plummet with black voters is only the beginning.
And once again we remind you, it is only March 28. This scheisseshau started only 68 days ago. And look at how far south everything has gone. DARVO, Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim Offense is the playbook here but unfortunately, the cold hard numbers don’t lie. And blaming Biden is a ploy with diminishing returns. The first couple of weeks it was doable but as the days march on, blaming the predecessor sounds weaker and weaker.
SignalGate is not helping. And worst of all, there are two Democrats in scoring position to flip two House seats in ruby red Florida. If those seats remain in Republican hands but only barely, that will be a tremendous wake up call. And the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat is also a focal point. Musk may not be able to buy that and have it giftwrapped and walk out the door with it like he thought he would.
We’re going to know a lot more this time next week than we know now. But the times, they are a changin’ for Donald.
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It’s kind of amazing that people are finally catching on to what some of us have known all along. I guess better late than never.
There are still black voters that approve?
WTF is wrong with these people?
You completely ignore his erasure of black heroes, as if that doesn’t piss off black voters?