As a general rule, it is a bit dangerous to take any one poll and use it as emblematic of anything. It is usually far better to look at the aggregate polls, the averages across the board, to look for serious movement. But there are certain points that tell a larger story than just raw numbers, and those tend to do a good job looking at various issues that indicate something beyond the “approval/disapproval” snapshot. To that end, CNN covers a poll that again indicates a broad general downward slope, while also showing that Trump is now in the net negative across all issues. Now that is something worth real consideration.
From Rawstory, we have a bit of a breakdown of the video included below:
“We’re talking about 181 days in a row in which Donald Trump has been underwater, swimming with the fishes,” Enten said on CNN Monday. “There is no good data for Donald Trump when looking at the aggregate and looking overall; he has been negative for a very long period of time, the vast majority of his second presidency.”
Trump has had net negative approval on all major issues since March 12, Enten revealed — even on issues he had historically performed well on like crime and immigration. According to the polling, Trump’s approval on trade hit negative 17; on the economy, net negative 14; foreign policy, net negative 12; immigration, net negative three, and crime, net negative two.
This is really noteworthy. With respect to the major topics that voters said they based their Trump vote on, the economy, immigration, and crime, Trump has been moving down since the Spring, and now ends up in net negative numbers across the board. It would seem as though the public is not receptive to federal gangs rounding up anyone brown in our streets, nor in favor of troops moving into cities. There is no other takeaway, given how prominent such acts have been.
As Rawstory further notes, there is something even more sinister in the numbers across demographics:
Trump’s favorability on the issues among key demographics that in large part handed him victory last November was also a troubling sign for the president. Among 19-29 year olds, Trump’s favorability plummeted from positive two points in February down to negative 30. And for Hispanic voters, a new key demographic for Republicans, Trump’s favorability dropped by 32 points, from negative two in February to negative 34.
Let’s really concentrate on the Hispanic vote. For reasons that are nearly impossible to comprehend, the Hispanic vote moved far more into Trump support in the last election. Moreover, and this is key, especially in places like Texas, where the new congressional districts fully assume more Hispanic support, the plan to steal five seats could fall flat on its face if Hispanic voters either don’t show up or swing their support against Trump’s MAGA Republicans.
All of this is bad news for Trump, and it will likely only get worse as Trump continues to pressure the economy, worry people further by militarizing the cities, is bogged down by the Epstein cover-up, and looks to use the American military in both Mexico and Venezuela. Trump could feel far less powerful as polls strongly swing against him. As a populist dictator, his plan of action really gets limited if strongly opposed by a majority of Americans.
So one senses that the White House wouldn’t be happy with the news today. This is a shakeup, one across the board, going beyond just aggregate net approval ratings. The trend continues.
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Your mention of Hispanics in TX jumped out at me. If overall but particularly in the border counties the GOP is counting on with their redistricting stunt it could be a disaster for the GOP and not just in Congress.
There are a few things about the Hispanic population a lot of people don’t take into account. Lots of nuance. They are not and never have been a largely monolithic bloc of voters. You have those who are citizens going back at least a generation. Even if ancestors crossed the border and didn’t obtain legal status if they had kids and raised families here all those descendants are U.S. citizens. Then you have those who jumped through a ton of hoops to obtain legal status and sometimes even citizenship. Both of these groups aren’t shy about expressing disdain and even resentment towards those who just crossed into this country. Even for the ones who parents/grandparents did there is a feeling of being ‘better’ than these new folks.
Then you have FL Hispanics and their Cuban roots. Many others feel this group has gotten an undeserved level of deference so there’s animosity between the large and politically powerful FL Cuban ancestry folks and other Hispanics. But what most often gets overlooked is along the border in southwestern states and TX in particular are all those tiny Catholic parishes where the priests aren’t just beloved. The are also almost universally old-school fervent anti-choice, anti-gay rights etc. in their views. One would be surprised how many of their parishoners speak little or no English. But believe their priest like they believe in Jesus. The Catholic Church’s larger message that educated Catholics both her and in the U.S. think about, the one that promotes charitable work and sending aid to places that truly need it (an unlike Evangelicals they don’t make people sit through a mass/sermon just to get a meal!) develop more nuanced views. No, in these border communities with so many poor/working class Catholics they do what the priest tells them to do – vote Republican.
Its just a whole lot more complicated than people realize.
I’m thinking that him sending in the military to Chicago and Portland has to have a negative impact on most Americans. I hope I’m not off base here.
…there is no good data…. Should read …there are no good data…. The term data is not singular, datum is.
You are absolutely right — if we were speaking Latin. Datum is second declension neuter nominative singular, and data is the corresponding plural. In English, unfortunately, that ship sailed long ago. However, th distinction is not entirely lost; the word “datum” is still used in English to distinguish a particular piece of data from the rest of the data.
I appreciate the tip. I certainly didn’t know that. The “there is no good data” is far more in common usage, but apparently it is technically wrong and I appreciate all of you flagging it.
jason