Three Words Trump Has Probably Never Even Heard Are Now His Worst Nightmare

When I write about polling, and sometimes even just electoral mechanics, I tend to use two numbers, and sometimes it might not appear that they belong together in the same sentence, but they do. And for what follows to make sense, this has to make sense.

God, I feel like I’m reading to my toddlers from Sesame Street, Today’s numbers are 33 and 45! If those two numbers are tickling your whiskers, they should snap into place right about now.

For more than nine years now, when talking about Trump’s relative strength, I’ve focused on his rock solid base, 33%. But when I talk about the general national vote count, I almost always start it out with an even 45-45% split. Which begs the question, OK smartass, where does Trump’s extra 12% come from?

Very good, my padawan learners. Where indeed? Well, they’re what I would call, using college as a metaphor, Legacy Voters. These voting lemmings proudly announce that they’ve been voting Republican since Lincoln. If Baal the demon topped the GOP ticket, and Christ himself was atop the Democratic ballot, Jesus wouldn’t get 10 votes from these recidivist retards.

It’s not that they’re stupid or gullible. But just like being a Cubs fan, or a Cleveland Indians fan, or a Detroit Lions fan is a sometimes painful badge of honor, it’s proudly passed down from generation to generation. And normally, it would take something akin to a pound of army C-4 to dislodge that vote loose.

Here are the three words Traitor Tot has probably never even heard in his life, but they’re about to bury him and his campaign. And they’re not new, strategists and analysts have been talking about them for at least the last eight years;

Abandonment. Permission. Structure.

It sounds complicated, but it’s actually quite simple. If you want to peel off any of those legacy voters, on either side, you have to be willing to spend the time and sweat equity to rinse and massage away the guilt associated with fleeing the nest, and then show them other legacy voters who have found their way to the light.

And this project has already been underway, mostly on the GOP side of all places, for eight years now. Just a brief history;

• Right from 2016, there sprang up the grassroots Never Trumpers! That never really took off, mainly because most of the members and vocal proponents were GOP operatives, and could be written off as sour grapes
• Which led to The Lincoln Project. These were all veteran GOP strategic savants, masters at adverrising savants that gave Democrats knots in their stomach. They started making graphic ads showing why it wasn’t blasphemy to break with Trump. When they had enough, they started creating 30 second ads of actual Trump supporters who had fled the nest
• Following January 6th, rock solid conservatives Adam Kinzinger and Liz Cheney broke with the GOP and sacrificed their careers to get an honest accounting at the televised hearings
• After January 6th, more prominent mainstream GOP names, many in Trump’s former administration started coming forward. Former AG Tubby the Ewok, former Pence security advisor Olivia Troye, even NSA nabob John Bolton all came forward, and grassroots groups featuring ads of previous Trump supporters sending in short clips explaining why they couldn’t support Trump

This slow, under the radar approach has actually been showing slow, steady progress since 2018. Post election polling and focus groups showed that in 2018, Trump bled soft GOP and independent support that put him in in 2016, most notably white suburban GOP women voters. And it got even worse in 2020, with Traitor Tot reduced to his base 33% and his 14% legacy votes.

And then, in the fall of 2023 came the coup de grace. In ther GOP primaries, a moderate, successful two term Governor of South Carolina, as well as former Trump Ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, took trump on head-to-head. She called His Lowness what he was, an old, failed candidate, losing his mental prowess, and buried in the past instead of looking to the future.

It worked, probably beyond her wildest dreams. Right from the start, Haley started pulling anywhere from the high teens to the low-to-mid 30’s in the primaries, enraging Il Douche. And even after she dropped out of the race, she continued to pull 20% for the rest of the primaries. These weren’t polls, they were GOP primary voters, the base of the GOP base. And they’re not going back.

View the poll numbers with a cow lick sized grain of salt, and remember one thing. Despite the public rollout, this is by nature a stealth operation. Discovery could be painful if not potentially serious personally.

All the way back to the 2016 election, post election interviews and focus groups were replete with voters who answered every presidential poll, Don’t Know, because they would be embarrassed for their friends and neighbors to know they were voting for Trump.

Everything is now in place, and even becoming public. Starting in Arizona, and now branching out to other states, you have the grassroots Republicans for Harris groups mobilizing to get out the vote, and you can bet your ass a solid part of that will be talking to GOP friends and neighbors, giving them a very personal abandonment permission structure.

And it’s already showing up in the polling if you know where to look. Harris has only topped the ticket for three weeks, and yet battleground states that El Pendejo ex Presidente led comfortably are now all on their ears. Harris is now leading in every battleground state, in some cases near or over the margin of error. Worse yet, endangered democratic swing state Senators like Casey in PA, Baldwin in WI, Rosen in NV and Gallego in AZ are all leading, in some places outperforming Harris, which means she has room to grow.

In dark the darkest deeds are done, and villains flee the rising sun. While there was a public facing aspect to this, it was by nature a sabotage operation from the inside, and they took the time to do it right. And in reality they learned from the GOP. In 2008, following the election of Barack Obama, the GOP started a four year subversive operation, spending hundreds of millions of dollars, not on the national scene, but on flipping state legislatures and Governor’s mansions so that they could control the census redistricting process in 2011. That made first the Tea Party Movement, followed by the Freedom caucus a nonstop pain in the ass for a decade. Let’s hope this lasts that long.

I thank you for the privilege of your time.