“Day is done, gone the sun, from the hills, from the lake from the sky…” — Taps
The 2022 midterm election, which still has many races uncounted and undecided, is the third election in a row that Donald Trump has lost — fourth, if you want to count the Georgia runoffs of January 2021, which the Wall Street Journal does. And he may lose a fifth election, if the December 6 runoff between Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock ends up fizzling, as is now widely predicted. After all, Walker is another Trump candidate.
That said, Trump is just fine with setting himself up to lose yet a sixth consecutive race, that of 2024. Trump is supposed to announce his candidacy this Tuesday, November 15. This is what his psychologist/pundit niece, Mary, has to say.
I don’t think Trump will back down from the Tuesday announcement, even though the likes of Kayleigh McEnany asked him to do so just a few short days ago. I believe that he is compelled to announce.
But the problem there, is that he is going to force the hands of a lot of people in the Republican party, who will come out and openly declare that they won’t support him. If, on the other hand, he doesn’t say a word but just fades into the shadows and plays golf for a while, things can calm down.
But on the other hand — and yes, this ping pong back and forth is probably how thoughts and justifications are bouncing around in his tiny mind — if he doesn’t announce on Tuesday, then he’ll have people ask him why he didn’t.
But if he DOES announce, well, then the whole financial dynamic changes with the Federal Election Commission and he can’t just keep fleecing the rubes and putting it into his war chest.
So you see how it goes, back and forth, back and forth.
Trump originally planned to announce his candidacy as a part of his victory lap, after the Red Wave swept his candidates into office. That didn’t materialize. So if he announces now, anyway, it’s from a lame duck position.
Or, he may not see it that way. He may see a handful of seats in the House as some kind of outsized victory and capitalize on that, since it’s the only thing he has to capitalize on. Nothing is known. As is usual with the world of Trump, it’s more terra incognita.
But if he does announce on Tuesday and chances are very high that that is precisely what he will do, he will be running against not only the Democratic incumbent, he will be running against a Republican party who wants him gone, so that it can retool itself and move on.
As with all things Trumpian, we will see what it looks like and how it plays out. It’s nothing we’ve experienced before.
Suits me fine…we haven’t won enough elections yet.
There’s also a theory that he could announce and not file the paperwork. Essentially, creating another reason to fund raise. I’m hoping if that’s the case, that someone will check it out and publicly out him.
“But the problem there, is that he is going to force the hands of a lot of people in the Republican party, who will come out and openly declare that they won’t support him.”
Not going to believe UNTIL AFTER it happens. Trump still has a devoted, dedicated following (as we’ve been seeing in posts and articles on this very site) and 2024 will have 10 current Republican Senate seats up for election (only 1 of those Senators is planning to retire to run for Governor of Indiana and only 2 have already announced intent to run again; 3 of these Senators won with just between 50.1 and 52% of the popular vote). I can’t see any of the 9 incumbents–assuming they all do choose to run again–risking a potential primary challenge from a Trumpist (and a couple of the incumbents haven’t exactly been all that willing to challenge Trump to this point: Cruz, Blackburn, Scott, Barrasso). Nebraska’s Ben Sasse’s resigning and his replacement (probably a GOPer to be announced by the incoming GOP governor) will also end up on the ballot in a special election.
The MAGAs will probably show up in the GOP primaries, not just in those races but also in the states that currently have Democratic senators (with Montana, Nevada, Arizona and West Virginia most ripe for a MAGA-led GOP takeover since 2 of those states went with Trump in 2020 and the other 2 went for Biden with very narrow margins).
Again, though, until I hear the GOP’s current senators who’ll be up for reelection (those who haven’t already announced) denouncing or repudiating Trump by next summer, I’m not going to just believe this mass rush to become Peters to their Trumpian messiah. Fox “News” and the Murdochs can play this “never Trumper” game but they were also pretty much in the same position until Trump started winning primaries in 2016 and they were his biggest boosters until earlier this year. If they think they can make money by toadying for Trump, they’ll be right back sucking at his teat. (Sorry for that disgusting image.)
You might not envision the 9 ‘pube senators getting primaried, if they themselves are not trumpy enough, but I suspect they will be regardless of their stance now.
and yes, I shudder to think of what will be running in MT. That dipshit governor was a clarion call.
We’ve had some bad Presidents before but Trump maybe the biggest asshole loser in HISTORY. He will declare his candidacy in order to continue to collect funds which he will try to steal through creative bookkeeping, and use the excuse that a candidate cannot be indicted for a crime, which is his only hope since he knows Garland, the 1/6 committee and the state of GA have the goods on him. A well as NY for tax fraud.
Can’t wait to sit back and see a pissing/spitting contest between Trump and DeSantis who I also detest. Popcorn, anyone?