Ron DeSantis had to do something after yesterday’sĀ horrific pudding man ad, put out by MAGA War Room. So he did something.

He put together an ad of his own, which is emblematic of not only how afraid he is to really attack Trump, but shows to a tee how terrified he is of offending the MAGA base. This ad is tepid at best, in response to an ad that was vulgar and vicious. Maybe that’s how the dividing lines are drawn, at least this early in the game.

What DeSantis doesn’t seem to get — yet — is that the hardcore cultists will allow no criticism of their orange overlord. He is above it all, floating on clouds, and must remain that way. They have no discernment where Trump is concerned, nor do they want any. So if this is as down and dirty as DeSantis get this primary season, we’re in for a real yawner.

Now here’s an interesting anti-Trump tidbit.

That is the scary part. Because as the GOP becomes smaller and weaker, the likelihood of somebody starting the stolen election dirge and actually succeeding with a coup becomes greater. Make no mistake, this is being discussed as an alternative in back rooms. Desperate times call for desperate measures.

And never forget, when conservatives realize hey can’t succeed by winning democratically, they won’t abandon conservatism. They will abandon democracy. If MAGA madness has taught us one thing, it’s that this country is ripe for a takeover by the right charismatic cult leader.

Anybody else getting a Ted Cruz 2016 deja vu? The Dispatch:

The Florida governor looks like he has a bad case of Ted Cruz-itis: Overfunded and underwhelming. And he contracted the malady in much the same way. Like his 2016 forerunner, DeSantis has done a good job of convincing conservative donors and party elites that he has the special sauce for gulling yokels with culture war politics while still quietly delivering normal reformist policies and stable governance.

Itā€™s not about giving the mainstreamers what they want, but whatĀ they thinkĀ they can get through a primary electorate that gave the party close brushes with the likes of Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, and Mike Huckabee over the years before finally pushing Donald Trump down everybodyā€™s gullet. DeSantis isnā€™t the radical they want, but the one they thought they needed.

Heā€™s even gotĀ Cruzā€™s strategist on his team. And right now, at least, seems destined for a similar finish: blowing $140 million and wrapping up the Republican National Convention byĀ getting taunted by his home stateā€™s delegates. […]

Cruz rode his backbench spot in the Senate into national celebrity by willing a government shutdown into being, but he lacked an exit strategy for what was always fated to be a symbolic effort to ā€œdefund Obamacare.ā€ The Senate is boring by design and lame by the mutual agreement of its members, so being the bad boy of a failed faux filibuster is a distinction of deeply limited appeal. […]

DeSantis had a better perch than Cruz did to begin with. Governorships provide many more opportunities to look presidential. And DeSantis took the job in Florida as the Sunshine State was eclipsing Texas as Republicansā€™ favorite Sun Belt success story. But it was the coronavirus pandemicā€”not the culture war, not the press hating, not the airmailing migrants to Marthaā€™s Vineyardā€”that made DeSantis the biggest gator in the pond.

DeSantis had to take a way bigger risk to get there than reading Dr. Seuss books on the Senate floor, though. The Floridian had to start out by bucking a president of his own party on a topic so serious that even normal people were disinfecting their groceries. There were other even more enthusiastic risk takers, like Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota, but if South Dakota were in Florida, it would only be the eighth-largest county. Also, the bison would be very confused.

But DeSantisā€™ gamble paid off and made him the face of the effort to end the lockdowns long before Democrats were able to address their own internal divisions on the question. It was a stance that won him admirers among traditional conservatives and raised his status to the sky with the nationalists. His 19-point improvement from his first win in 2018 to his 2022 re-election tells the tale. The battles over drag shows and Disney made it clear that he was no squish, but the Reagan Library speech and huddles with big fundraisers kept the right heads nodding.

They’re always looking for the Second Coming of Ronnie Raygun and I don’t think Ronnie DeSatan is going to be it.

If the Republican Party is as profoundly MAGAed as DeSantis seems to believe, how does one accumulate mainstream votes over the course of many months without alienating too many Trump voters? Maybe the former president succumbs to the mounting legal threats heā€™s facing, but not any time soon and not without forcing his own governor into some very uncomfortable places. DeSantisā€™ own well-cultivated brand of bluntness wouldnā€™t seem to allow it.

DeSantis has been lucky many times before, and he has shown some strong political instincts. Maybe he can do the dance. God knows heā€™ll get a lot of latitude from conservatives and moderates desperate to avoid a third Trump nomination. Or maybe DeSantis repeats Cruzā€™s performance of being the last dog hung, but gets strung up all the same. Or maybe the race starts breaking open and somebody does with the mainstream what Trump did with the nationalists, and shoots the gap between two bogged-down factions with solid support from a plurality.

Anything goes. At this point nobody knows what is going to happen. The only thing to be certain of is that Trump will duplicate 2016, believing that to be a winning formula and it will be ugly. Plus, Trump was an unknown quantity in 2016, no longer the case, and he wasn’t encumbered with all the legal trials he’s in now. The turf is very different, but it might yield the same result of getting him on the GOP ticket, yet a third time.

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4 COMMENTS

  1. Our Governor in Iowa, has proved to be the slime ball, “sign it if the Republicans want it” …

    She has served well to lock Iowa into a serious dripping red State … with all the clapping hands surrounding her as she raises the fresh-inked portfolio on NO abortions after heart beat is detected …

    Something that, “sounds like a heart beat, can actually be made by a group of cells, finding a common signal that DOES NOT mean a viable heart … in fact, finding such small activity, requires special equipment …

    It is a matter of Doctor-Patient activity, NOT some politician with a sick grin on her face, swinging her worthless signature around in front of her photo-op group of little kids …

    Clapping away as directed by moms behind them … NOT A CLUE WHY they are clapping … looking at each other like, what the hell is going on as Mom grabs their elbows to remind them time to clap, they will love the promised ice cream cone later …

    THIS Governor had a less-then stellar handling of OUR Pandemic, she would come on TV, talk about where cases were happening, how many were in the hospitals, NEVER how many deaths occurred from the Covid-19 …

    She had sent ALL the 10,000 test kits she received, the first issued test units were limited in quantity, to the various meat companies in Iowa, who had installed many plastic divider panels between work stations to help prevent spreading cases, seems the meat companies were much more important than the many people dead from Covid in the retirement centers, I guess better things happen for you if you pass enough money under the tables …

    She even handled masking poorly, another sad system, driven by the deniers, who insisted on less, rather than tighter controls, large gatherings were always case generators …

    Trump killed over a million citizens with his in-actions, how many died here in Iowa may never be correctly reported …

  2. The only dance that he will be doing will be done to “these boots are made for walking” and that’s exactly all destinkus will do.
    He is a loser.

  3. You know, this is pretty damned funny. If death sentence would just rip diapers a new ass hole, I expect he would reap some real benefits. Being afraid of the hard core magats is asinine. They are not going to be as much of a factor as anyone thinks I suspect. More to the point, ripping diapers might just get ronny some respect from magats not so hard core. It will damned sure get him ‘pubes that aren’t magats. ronny’s stupidity in this, as in so many other things, is astounding.

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