This is genius. As well you know, it’s not allowed to wear campaign merchandising within 500 feet of a polling venue. So far in this election we had one woman who was festooned in MAGA gear get turned away. So she stripped off her outer clothing and went into the voting booth in her slip. I’m frankly surprised that was allowed but he poll workers probably figured it was better that then become the butt of some insane conspiracy theory.. And I absolutely applaud this woman’s statement, above. This is not Democratic messaging per se, but it is the very essence of the messaging of the Harris campaign. Brilliant. Simply brilliant.

Asheville, North Carolina folks. Now you know why the Trump internal polling is going off the scale, like one of those earthquake needles during a seismic event. This is why Trump has been virtually camped out in North Carolina. He did another rally in Raleigh this morning and he’s headed for two in Pennsylvania and a final one in Michigan tonight. Let us look at the most recent polling and see what good any of this last minute flurry might do him.

Don’t stress over Michigan in this one poll, because there are others. It looks like Harris is holding her own there, per Newsweek.

Harris has overtaken Donald Trump in the key swing state of Michigan, according to a survey conducted by a polling group that is generally affiliated with Republicans.

A Michigan News Source and Michigan Information & Research Service (MIRS) poll of 585 likely Michigan voters, carried out by Mitchell Research & Communications, shows Harris with a 2-point lead over Trump (50 percent to 48) in a head-to-head race.

Harris also has a 1-point lead over the former president (49 percent to 48) in an eight-person ballot which includes Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, Cornel West who is running as an independent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein (all at 1 percent).

The poll was conducted from October 29 to November 2. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.04 percentage points. Pollster Mitchell Research & Communications’ client list of politicians mainly consists of Republicans.

And yes, Pennsylvania is of great concern. If Harris can win in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, then she’ll likely hit 270 early on in the game tomorrow night. But even without Pennsylvania, if she’s bringing in North Carolina and if the outlier Iowa poll is accurate, it could be an early night wipeout.

Trump is doing two rallies in Pennsylvania today because he knows he’s in trouble. Harris is also sweeping Pennsylvania. The psychology of this is obvious: if Harris can bring home the blue wall states, Pennsylvania chief amongst them and North Carolina tomorrow, then game over for Trump. Yes, he might win Arizona. But that alone is not going to give him a victory. Not if he loses other key states.

There are seven battleground states. Harris appears in trouble in only one, Arizona. Trump, on the other hand, is in trouble in states that were previously safely red. If you had to be in one camp right now, you’re better off in the Democrats’.

 

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6 COMMENTS

  1. Financial types are predicting a trump win and a red sweep (Quartz, Andy Mills-Smart Investing). Buffett and Dimon are cash heavy right now (maybe market upset).

    I’m not so sure trump is worried. I still think he thinks the fix is in. Whether it turns out to be true or not I’ve no idea. He’s cheated before (2016), tried to cheat in 2020, and I’m sure he’ll try again in this election. I worry that there are too many magat pols who are using the constitution for toilet paper.

    If he’s worried, for real, good.

    14
  2. If Trump’s loss materialises and he’s consigned to histories trash can, all can rejoice Trumps impending face plant. Together (and holy batman, you know the tune) you can sing:

    Face plant, Face plant, Face plant, Face plant!

    Face plant, Face plant, Face plant!

    Na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na

    Face plant!

    10

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