Riding Big Mo Over The Finish Line

This town loves a winner   Map to the Stars Eddie   Escape From LA

Anybody who doesn’t feel better today than they did seven weeks ago might seriously want to consider professional help. Because the biggest question is finally being answered before our eyes.

Seven weeks ago, when Joe Biden endorsed Kamala Harris to take over his top spot on the ticket, there was great relief from the Democratic base that felt that Biden couldn’t win, but for someone who had been Vice President for some 3 1/2 years, Harris was widely unknown outside Democratic circles, and therefore an enigma.

The initial results were satisfying. Within two weeks of Harris becoming the presumptive nominee, battleground polls that had consistently showed Biden behind outside the margin of error, now had Harris in a dead heat, or in some cases leading narrowly. Fundraising took a rocket ship to Mars, and the campaign damn near ran out of applications for new volunteers signing up.

There’s a phrase for this phenomenon, and we talked about it at the time. It’s called a Honeymoon Cruise, and it normally lasts 2-4 weeks. I wrote at the time that there were factors this time around, starting with a shortened calendar to election day, that led me to believe she might actually be able to ride that cruise past Labor Day.

She has, for all the right reasons, and looking out, there’s no reason she can’t ride Big Mo all the way to November 5th. But in reality Harris is already in the home stretch, and the next three weeks are the most critical in my opinion. And it looks like a clear field ahead. I’ll explain why.

When Biden stepped down, Harris was like Wonder Woman flying in to save the day, and the response to her was positive and immediate. Thanks to the calendar, she was still catching a tan on that cruise when they made a port call to the Democratic National Convention. That four day love fest was such a blowout that Harris came out of that with a VIP cabin upgrade.

Every cruise ship has a casino, and Harris just keeps rolling naturals at the craps table. Coming out of the debate, she smartly started laying out a more specific agenda, putting meat on the bones of her plans, and quietly but forcefully drawing the differences between Biden’s vision and hers. And the more she defined herself, the more people liked her. When she took over, the largely unknown Harris had a 33-51% favorability, underwater by 17 points. The last favorability poll had her at 44-41, now +3, with Traitor Tot running at -26. The cruise sails smoothly on.

Past labor Day, and right on up to September 10th, when Harris mopped the floor with His Lowness, and then wrung him out and draped him over the railing. Polling showed that Harris was +26 as to who won the debate. Once again fundraising and volunteer sign ups went through the roof. Nowadays even her deck lounge chair has a reserved sign on it.

Here’s why I say that Harris is already in the home stretch, and that the next three weeks are so critical. As of today, a full half of the states, 25 of them have some form of early voting underway, in person, mail-in, or both. And one of the things that enthusiasm buys is an increase in voter turnout, which most reporting states and districts are reporting at near record highs. And it looks like the Harris Love Boat has one more port to visit.

It’s basically five weeks to election day, still plenty of time for the ship to strike an iceberg, but it looks like it’s a Caribbean cruise. Because on Tuesday she hits the Duty Free Port of the much awaited Walz-Vance debate. And if that little tussle turns out to as big of a blowout as the Harris-Trump beatdown, or even better, then the momentum, fundraising, grassroots enthusiasm and voter enthusiasm should ride Harris and Walz right up to November 5th.

And we’ll know quickly. Unlike the old days, when you had to wait at least for polling results taken after the debate to find out who won, that’s now pretty much moot. Snap polls, daily online polls, and most importantly social media and candidate body language makes it pretty clear pretty quickly who won. When Trump felt compelled to run to the spin room after the debate, that was a sure fire admission of guilt. A Walz blowout Tuesday night should take the Big Mo train over the finish line simply because that debate is the last major event allowing one side or the other to make a critical swing impact.

And here’s why I’m so bullish on Harris’s chances of riding her momentum all the way home. For starters, Harris seems to be exactly what she claims to be. Since day one, Traitor tot has been totally unable to find one thing to hit her with, other than that nonsense about her flip-flopping on her racial identity, and the media’s only bitch is that she doesn’t pander enough to them with more exclusive interviews. Walz is a straight arrow too.

Traitor Tot and the Hillbilly Imbecile on the other hand just keep stumbling into one controversy after another. Vance’s trash talking El Pendejo ex Presidente back in 2016 and 2020 is coming back to bite him in the ass again, and Trump’s lack of mental capacity keeps popping up. And by my guess, by the middle of next week, we’ll have some redacted pages of the Jack Smith filing to chew over.

I thought from the start that due to Harris’s popularity in rejunevating a depressed Democratic party, she could ride Big Mo farther than most candidates, especially with the favorable calendar. But even I never expected that the Honeymoon Cruise would be self regenerating, that she’d still be above water with her popularity, and that fundraising, grassroots enthusiasm and voter enthusiasm would still be almost as high as they were in the first three weeks. This is one for the ages.

I thank you for the privilege of your time.