If it wasn’t for bad news, they’d have no news at all. It appears that Republicans across the country and at all levels have gone beyond concerned to worried. Prospects for Republican victories at midterms have slid down to positively wretched chances. The Senate could be, maybe, up for grabs. That is something they really don’t want to contemplate, but it may be too little too late. With appreciation for Raw Story:
Senate Republican leaders have delivered grim new warnings to their colleagues: the midterms are shaping up to be a bloodbath beyond what had previously been predicted. An anti-incumbent wave is sweeping the nation on its 250th anniversary, catching Republicans at their most vulnerable moment. Trump’s approval ratings have cratered, and GOP leadership is now privately acknowledging just how dire the situation has become, The Hill is reporting. The picture got worse at a recent Senate Republican lunch, according to the report.
This is where we remind everyone ETTD. That includes Republicans, although they may have forgotten it until now. Trump has the anchor of the Titanic around his neck, and he’s trying to climb back to the surface on the backs of his party. Barring a serious miracle, and a big one, Trump and Republicans are going under. It’s not going to be helped that Trump has alienated some decent Republicans because they wouldn’t grovel to him. Boom.
Conference Chair Tom Cotton (R-AR) presented polling showing independents fleeing the GOP in “significant numbers” and moving toward Democrats. The data was stark enough that attendees left the meeting “visibly shaken.” According to prominent Republican pollster Whit Ayres, “We know that the party in power tends to lose House seats in a midterm election, but the number of seats lost is highly correlated with the president’s popularity. When presidential job approval is above 50 percent, the average loss of House seats for his party is 14. When it’s below 50 percent, the average loss of House seats for his party is 32.”
Ouch. It more than doubles. No wonder they’re nervous. It’s a little late for them to figure out that Trump is dragging them down. They should have seen it last year, starting around the time of the LA Protests and sending the National Guard into cities where they aren’t needed, followed by the first (and ongoing, natch) No Kings. There are any number of places where, if they had just looked, they would have seen what was happening, and what continues to happen. People are so over Trump and his nonsense excuse of an administration.
“But there are very few people at this point who are predicting that the Democrats will not gain seats in the House,” Ayres added. Democratic strategist Tad Devine told The Hill he sees a wave election in the making. “It may be a very big change election in that the Republicans are going to lose the House of Representatives and could lose the Senate as well. And I think the Democrats will gain ground not just in those federal races, but I think in governors’ races, in legislative races.”
There’s the big one. Democrats are likely to win just about everywhere. We need to get Talarico into the Senate for Texas and keep revolting Ken Paxton out, out, out. That’s a pain point for us. There is also our Georgia Senator to go back in (his opponent is not doing well as yet). We can’t exactly boast about Democrats all the time because we have our share of idiots. But it would be so good to get something positive *done*. Flipping Congress is what’s needed. Being as I came on board after the last election in 2024, it’s going to be educational to watch. We all will do what we can for our people.
See you soon!
Friends, I know everybody begs you for money. I promise you that, of all the outlets bugging you for spare change, we are the smallest and the hardest-working. We’re a bunch of old, disabled people, except for one writer in his mid-50s. But the rest of us are in our sixties and seventies, and this is a labor of love. All we’re asking for is the ability to continue our quest to tell the truth about Trump and help ensure democracy survives. If you can help, please do. Thank you. Ursula
