Yeah, it’s me again. And Ain’t y’all lucky? I just saw this, and it’s something I hadn’t previously thought of, and I thought you might find it interesting.
You’ve heard me talk before, on more than one occasion about the stealth voting bloc out there that nobody realizes is there, and nobody effectively polls. Namely the 18-22 voting bloc.
Well, Poli-Sci professor Jason Johnson refined the raw numbers I use with a twist that’s actually totally locked in to this years electorate. I’ve explained why it’s so difficult to poll the 18-29 crowd. They don’t answer the phone to strangers, and half of the time they don’t appear in the subject pools for polling places due to their lack of voting. And in 2020 and 2022 they helped the Democrats to save democracy.
Here’s some simple facts, and simple math. Election cycles run every two years, presidential elections and midterm elections. And according to statistics, every cycle there are approximately 2.5 million students who turn 18 and are eligible to vote. The problem for both sides is motivating them. They tend to be motivated by whatever things that are socially relevant to them and their peers.
Now to follow Dr Johnson’s point more clearly, if every cycle there are some 2.5 million who become eligible to vote, then in a single year, that means that there are approximately 1.25 million students who turned 18 between June of 2023 and September of 2024. And here’s why that matters so much.
Roe v Wade was overturned by the Supreme Court in June of 2022, and it was a highly motivating factor in helping the Democrats to stem the red wave and maintain sanity.
But there were about 1.25 million teens who didn’t turn 18 in time to vote in the 2022 elections. But with their social media savvy, and their activism with their peers, you gotta know that they knew full well how this ruling could affect their lives going forward. God knows it had to be a hot topic in their digital world.
And now they’ve turned 18. And those 1.25 million young people are completely under the radar of the pollsters. Their names won’t even appear on the voter registration rolls for pollsters until they update their pools after the November election.
But they’re there. And they’re active. Many of them likely have online friends who unfortunately live under the boot of a Trump abortion ban, and they’re getting the horror stories of what’s going on in those states. To be sure some of them live in states suffering under a Trump abortion ban. And they’re royally pissed.
And we’re not just talking about young women here. As scatterbrained as I am now, I can still remember being 19 years old. And as desperately as I wanted to get laid, the last thing I wanted to do was to get saddled into a 20 year commitment for a quick roll in the hay. Overturning Roe v Wade affects every 18 year old in this country.
And they’re blaming Trump. Because Traitor Tot is a f*cking imbecile. No matter what source these kids use to get their information, it all comes back to Traitor Tot. because the moron just couldn’t resist taking a victory lap over appointing the three far right radicals that overturned Roe. And now, with it all coming down around his fat ears, he’s trying to spin it off. He didn’t actually do anything, he just sent it back to the states to decide. Don’t blame him! Fortunately these young men and women can spell their names, they know bullsh*t when they smell bullsh*t.
There it is. As I’ve stated, the 18-22 voting bloc is almost impossible to effectively poll because they tend to fly under the polling radar. But this year, in the most consequential election of out time, there are 1.25 million stealth Ninja abortion voters out there, and nobody even knows they’re there. And they’re not just in battleground states either, look for real trouble for the GOP in Ohio and Florida, Arizona and Nevada, where pro choice initiatives are on the ballot this year. And Calgary Teddy and Skeletor Rick Scott had better pray for rain. Don’t touch that dial.
I thank you for the privilege of your time.
Talking about the 18-29 yo’s, I follow a young man, Harry Sisson, he’s 21 and he’s really lays into Trump. You should check him out. He does a political commentary:
https://www.youtube.com/@harryjsisson
Thanks for this Marie. I’ve just subscribed to Harry’s channel.
My son turned 18 in May, at which time I presented him with a voter registration form. He is a newly registered Democrat, waiting to cast his first votes this year, and I can guarantee it won’t be for the Orange Shitgibbon.
There’s also this brave, fact based, young fellow, that has no problem debating 20 Trump supporters, by himself, in a round-table sitting. See: