The trend continues as Kamala Harris seems to have ridden a debate surge straight into a wave with staying power. In a new NBC poll, she leads Donald Trump with a widening 5 point advantage. To be sure, polls are snapshots and they do not conform to actual voters, only likely voters. So, as we saw to much heartbreak in 2016, when Clinton also had positive poll numbers but then went on to lose the election. But this isn’t that, according to Steve Kornacki on Meet the Press.
It’s a whole new board. But that board has to reflect the electoral college, and that race will remain as tight as ever. Still, one wants to trend up in any race and Harris has the receipts in this latest poll. According to Mediaite’s breakdown of the measure:
The Democratic nominee leads former President Donald Trump by 5 points in the new poll — 49-44. That’s a 7-point swing from the network’s poll in July — when President Joe Biden was still in the race. Trump led the NBC poll 45-43 just before Biden’s withdrawal.
Yes, Joe Biden’s decision to drop out of the race will be one of the greatest moves in his political career because Harris is now leaving Trump in the dumps. His latest protestations have to reflect an increasing level of stress within his campaign. Unlike Harris, they are sinking. With respect to winning the race, Kornacki went to the board:
“In 2020, Trump came within really a handful of votes in a few states of winning in that in the Electoral College. As the challenger against the incumbent administration, maybe overall, not that much of a different set up here. Certainly in the Electoral College within reach for him.”
Yes, and that’s the thing. In reality, the race comes down to polls confined to about six states and those will decide the winner, tragically shutting out most of the country’s voters. But it does concentrate the mind and the issues in those swing areas.
It would be nearly impossible to measure but a question arises as to whether these national polls themselves push voters in swing states toward a candidate. After all, everyone wants to back a winner and some just figure that others may know better. Either way, Harris certainly wants to be on the upswing.
There may well be dozens of lingering questions, but the “good news is good news” will always be the right answer. Harris has it.
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“good news is good news”
But it still means GOTV.
Imagine the joy we’ll share when we win.
Please everyone, stop looking at these polls as great news. It is only a snapshot of a few possible voters. Let’s just go vote and bring the win home for Vice President Harris and then we can look at the numbers! Nothing matters except the numbers when all the votes are counted. Not even early voting counts until all the votes are in and counted. So vote! And please ignore all the polls.