We are coming into the stretch on primaries. Tuesday August 2 is a primary election in a few states and so is August 16. On the latter date, Liz Cheney’s fate will be decided by her fellow Republicans. Right now she’s trailing in the polls badly. The Caspar Star-Tribune reported on July 25 that Harriet Hageman was polling at 52% to Cheney’s 30%.
In most contests that would spell certain doom. But this isn’t most contests. There is a real sociological phenomenon going on here. The Cult of Trump is strong in Wyoming. Wyoming is deep red, and Republicans outnumber Democrats four to one, according to CNN.
Liz Cheney is the daughter of Dick Cheney and I can tell you first hand, Dick Cheney is a star in Wyoming. My Wyoming friends told me that. Liz Cheney has served the state honorably for three terms in congress and she’s now serving her country’s interests honorably. Yet she’s trailing this MAGA opponent by 22 points?
Liz Cheney’s Trump-endorsed opponent is attacking her for asking WY Democrats for their support: “She’s desperate .. she trying everything that she can possibly do to try and find some way save face. I think she’s attempting to martyr herself over this J6 Committee.” pic.twitter.com/8CaUuLfJVc
— Ron Filipkowski 🇺🇦 (@RonFilipkowski) July 31, 2022
If we are to believe the polls, the woman you just listened to will join Lauren Boebert and Marjorie Taylor Greene in the House of Representatives. Or, at least she will join Greene and that’s not dead certain but it is probable. Boebert may well go down in flames in Colorado.
Or, maybe she won’t. Maybe this is the new political face of the Rocky Mountain west and if it is, glad I am that I left the area long ago. And I wouldn’t be caught dead going back there, if this is what’s going on.
Hit this link to CNN to hear interviews given today on the last day of Cheyenne Frontier Days. There are some scathing remarks by MAGAs but there are some compassionate comments about Cheney as well.
Here are possibilities: One, a lot of Democrats may switch parties and help Cheney, as she requested a month ago. Two, Cheney may be under polling as Donald Trump has always been notorious for. Pollsters found this out the hard way in 2016 and then again in 2020, although by that time they knew to hedge their bets.
Why does Trump under poll? It could be because there’s a substantial number of people who voted for him but did not want to tell pollsters that’s what they were doing. Why that may be, only the person polled would know.
But it makes one wonder if that same thing couldn’t happen to Liz Cheney.
This is a crucial contest here. If Wyoming goes MAGA crazy and Harriet Hageman becomes their sole voice in the House of Representatives, that will be a sad day for the state. A very sad day, indeed. If, on the other hand, the values of decency and fair play triumph and Liz Cheney is rewarded for putting her country first, over a corrupt Republican former president who attempted a coup d’etat, then the people of Wyoming will have made quite a statement by making that choice.
Either way, Wyoming is about to make a powerful statement about exactly who and what she is and what her people stand for. I hope Wyoming makes the right choice. From my heart, I hope she does.
I guess it’ll come down to whether the people of Wyoming want a bat-shit crazy MAGAt (who was a Never Trumper in 2016) or Darth Vader’s daughter, whose only position I agree w/ is democracy beats autocracy. Liz Cheney getting reelected would be karmic justice for TFG.
Totally the wrong lens to look at this through. As I see it, Liz Cheney can’t lose either way. Her eyes are on a bigger prize than a mere Congressional seat. She gets taken down by MAGA, she can wear it as an additional badge of honor for when the system flush of the crazies really begins. Why be bothered by pitiful insects like these when you can own all the political levers in a couple of years that they rely on?
She, Ron the Florida nazi & maybe some unknown are scarier than the clowns that fell out of this car. Same mindless shit overall but Liz & Ron are smart enough to be devious. And know when to shut the fuck up. Trump doesn’t possess that skill set.
It’s like a joke Ron white told about being drunk, thrown out of a bar, & the police called. He said they told him he had the right to remain silent. He said he understood he had the right…just not the ability.
Enough Democrats (temporarily) switched party registration in Georgia to help Brad Raffensperger attain > 50%, and avoid a runoff election. Jody Hice (who would have procured 11,780 votes for the Trumpster) was thus denied.
Hoping that lightning strikes twice. I know, I know, will disagree with Liz on almost anything … but if I was a Wyoming Dem, this is what I’d do (temporarily).
Lighning is actuall more, not less, likely to strike in a spot where it’s struck before. Something to do with currents and grounding – I’m not qualified to explain the details.
Ed, I find that hard to believe (about the Dems switching party registration). In the GOP primary race for Governor, Kemp received 888,078 votes out of 1,204,742 votes cast while, in the Secretary of State race, Raffensperger got 611,316 votes out of just 1,167,981 cast. (For an added comparison, Herschel Walker got 803,560 votes in the Senate race out of 1,178,625 cast.) Raffensperger beat a run-off by well over 27,000 votes (or more than 2 full percentage points) and he led his main challenger by more than 222,000 votes. I just don’t believe that many Democrats switched their party affiliation just to help a Secretary of State candidate pull off a “narrow” win but allowed Walker to win the Senate race.
For what it’s worth, you don’t “switch” your party registration in Georgia since you don’t declare an affiliation when you register. When you go to the polls for a primary election, you’ll be asked at THAT time whether you want a Democratic or Republican ballot and you’re bound to vote for that party’s candidates. You can vote for Democrats in one year’s elections and Republicans in the next year’s elections and then go right back to the Dems for the following year’s elections.
Liz is the only Cheney I respect (a little)
Change the spelling and tell him it’s Dan Quayle
She’s got a run, for the White House. How Bizarre