This just keeps getting worse and worse. I have covered this war extensively for you, and I have tried above all things to always be honest, not political or romantic. From where I’m sitting, the war in Ukraine is already over, all everybody is waiting for is for that dumbass Putin to finally admit it. Which ain’t coming any time soon.
Today there was news that the Ukrainians had managed to completely stall a Russian armored advance in the Donbas region. Yesterday, the Pentagon announced that as best as they could determine, Russia was already 3-5 days behind schedule in their Donbas initiative. This cannot happen. If you spend a month refitting, re-equipping, and resupplying a major armored army, come up with a master plan and turn them loose, and in less than a week, you’re at a standstill, you’re in deep shit.
There are many reasons for the current Russian debacle we’re witnessing, but two stand out. The first one is this. Thanks to Putin’s bluff and bluster, the rest of the world vastly overestimated the actual quality of both the Russian military fighting equipment, as well as the fighting spirit and tactical skills of their ground troops. Despite Putin’s alleged $7 Billion military upgrade, their equipment is for shit. And if you lie to your troops about where they’re going, don’t be surprised if they don’t have any stomach for the fight.
The second, possibly even more fuck up is the Russian misuse of politics and their command structure. For starters, the Russian command structure uses post WWII strategy, the same they’ve used all along in every confrontation. Use brute force against innocent civilians to make your opponent bow to your will. They tried it in Afghanistan, they did it in Georgia, they did it in Syria, and they did it in Crimea. But it isn’t working in Ukraine, These people have more spine for breakfast than Putin’s military has all day. And it shows.
The second case of military malpractice, bordering on stupidity, was allowing political considerations to take precedence over military necessity. I have already written repeatedly about how Putin’s 15 day delay in his initial invasion, so as to not steal Xi’s international media thunder with his Olympics, led to the eventual rout of the first invasion and attempt to take Kyiv. I won’t belabor it here.
But they’re doing it again, and this time it’s personal for Putin. Have you seen any on ground or drone video of the city of Mariupol lately? They look like an outtake from Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome. The city is nothing but bombed out skeletons of buildings, and piles of rubble. There are less than 1000 Ukrainian fighters entrenched in a steel factory complex, and yet they’re still tying up two Russian armored divisions because Putin wants to see the Russian flag flying from Mariupol.
Here’s the thing. Those two divisions aren’t supposed to be there! They were supposed to leave behind a screening force, and then swing back to take part in an envelopment motion to trap the Ukrainian army in the Donbas region. They were supposed to help the main Russian army trap and extinguish the Ukraine army. But Putin wants that Russian flag over Ukraine.
Let’s be honest. Putin and his army are toast. They are pulling equipment out of Soviet era mothballs to fill holes in the line. That stuff was in mothballs for a reason, it’s shit, and absolutely useless. Forget about the $33 billion bill before congress, with the assistance Ukraine has already received from the US and NATO, they are already on an equal footing with the Russians. Once the new stuff gets there, fuggedaboudit!
At this point, the real tragedy of Ukraine is that it will continue, because one selfish, delusional old man can’t let go of a fantasy. And all that means is more grieving Ukrainian families, more grieving Russian families, and more destruction that will take decades to rebuild. Welcome to your legacy President Putin.