Donald Trump’s bizarre performance at the town hall in Wisconsin, pre-recorded by Fox News and then later aired, was a seismic event, not only in Trump world but in the larger world of the GOP. Frankly, i’m surprised Fox aired it. James Carville said on Brian Williams’ show that Trump’s chances of resigning are greater than his chances of winning. Then Chuck Grassley indicated his alarm.

Chuck Grassley is 86 years old, but he’s never seen anything like this in his life either. And the Wall Street Journal article he references is a scorcher and we’ll get to that in a moment. First, let’s look at another Wall Street Journal editorial, this one by Peggy Noonan, who puts forth a compelling argument for why Trump is going down in flames and why he is losing his oft-vaunted base. She says, “He doesn’t understand his own base. I’ve never seen that in national politics.” Neither has anybody else, so far as I know.

His long-term political malpractice has been his failure—with a rising economy, no unemployment and no hot wars—to build his support beyond roughly 40% of the country. He failed because he obsesses on his base and thinks it has to be fed and greased with the entertainments that alienate everyone else. But his base, which always understood he was a showman, wanted steadiness and seriousness in these crises, because they have a sense of the implications of things.

Interesting way she phrases this last sentence, “they have a sense of the implications of things.” She doesn’t say they know what’s going on and are making informed decisions. No, they’re low information, no information people, just like the Republicans like, and they vote based on their “sense” of “implications.” Don’t get me wrong, there’s no disrespect for the writer here — quite the contrary, I find her candor refreshing in the extreme. It’s rare coming from the conservative end of the spectrum.

Some of them, maybe half, are amused by his nonsense decisions and statements—let’s ban all Muslims; let’s end this deadbeat alliance; we have the biggest, best tests. But they are half of 40%, and they would stick with him no matter what. He doesn’t have to entertain them! He had to impress and create a bond with others.

The other half of his base is mortified by his antics and shallowness. I hear from them often. They used to say yes, he’s rough and uncouth and unpolished, but only a rough man can defeat the swamp. Now they say I hate him and what he represents but I’ll vote for him because of the courts, etc. How a lot of Trump supporters feel about the president has changed. The real picture at the Tulsa rally was not the empty seats so much as the empty faces—the bored looks, the yawning and phone checking, as if everyone was re-enacting something, hearing some old song and trying to remember how it felt a few years ago, when you heard it the first time.

This might now be the true face of the base, the ones that were going through the motions and yawning in Tulsa — or at least the 20% of it that isn’t hard core that Noonan spoke of. They showed up perfunctorily and the ones that bothered to show most probably will vote for Trump because of the Faustian bargain of the judges and abortions and all that song and dance. So they’re not really voting for Trump at this point, they’re voting the generic Republican ticket. And that’s going to upset Trump. This is divorce time.

In the end, if the president loses, he’ll turn on them too. They weren’t there for him, they didn’t work hard enough, they’re no good at politics. “After all I did.”

That will be something, when that happens.

Nobody knows what’s coming. On New Year’s Eve we couldn’t imagine the pandemic, economic contraction and protests. We don’t know what will happen in the next four months, either. I believe in the phenomenon of silent Trump voters, people who don’t tell anyone, including pollsters, that they’re for him because they don’t want to be hassled. But eight, 10 or 14 points worth? No.

I think this is a realistic appraisal. Now let’s go to the other opinion piece which Chuck Grassley desperately wants somebody to read to Donald Trump — I guess because he figures Trump can’t read it himself, and I certainly don’t disagree with the senator on that point. The piece is entitled “The Trump Referendum” and it’s by the Wall Street Journal editorial board. This isn’t one columnist here, this is the editorial board, the official voice of the paper.

President Trump may soon need a new nickname for “Sleepy Joe” Biden. How does President-elect sound? On present trend that’s exactly what Mr. Biden will be on Nov. 4, as Mr. Trump heads for what could be an historic repudiation that would take the Republican Senate down with him.

Mr. Trump refuses to acknowledge what every poll now says is true: His approval rating has fallen to the 40% or below that is George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter territory. They’re the last two Presidents to be denied a second term. This isn’t 2017 when Mr. Trump reached similar depths after failing to repeal ObamaCare while blaming Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan. He regained support with tax reform and a buoyant economy that really was lifting all incomes.

I must have been in a coma when the Trump economy, post tax reform, was “lifting all incomes” — “really.” The version of reality that I recall, because I lived through it, is that Barack Obama prevented a second Great Depression after the housing bubble exploded, and any stellar employment numbers and “lifting of income” took place during his administrations. And he handed Trump a booming economy on a silver platter and now we’re in a recession — officially since February — less than four years later. But, this is the Wall Street Journal, so take a lot of this with a grain of salt. The reason I reference this editorial is two fold: 1. It gives you insight into exactly what they want Trump to do. They’re telegraphing the GOP platform at him, but he doesn’t get it; and 2. This is the GOP’s last ditch effort to wake Trump the hell up and get him to act right before they are forced to accept their fate, and they don’t know how dismal it is going to be.

But he wasted his chance to show leadership by turning his daily pandemic pressers into brawls with the bear-baiting press and any politician who didn’t praise him to the skies. Lately he has all but given up even talking about the pandemic when he might offer realism and hope about the road ahead even as the country reopens. His default now is defensive self-congratulation.

The country also wants firm but empathetic leadership after the death of George Floyd, but Mr. Trump offers combative tweets that inflame. Not long ago Mr. Trump tweeted that a 75-year old man who was pushed by police in Buffalo might be an antifa activist. He offered no evidence. […]

Mr. Trump has little time to recover. The President’s advisers say that he trailed Hillary Clinton by this much at this point in 2016, that they haven’t had a chance to define Mr. Biden, and that as the election nears voters will understand the binary choice. Perhaps. But in 2016 Mrs. Clinton was as unpopular as Mr. Trump, while Mr. Biden is not.

Chuck Grassley wants Trump to hear this because this is as politely as it can be put to him how he has royally effed up. And Grassley would unquestionably like, as would all the others, for Trump to adopt the following cheery platform, that would “appeal to millions” in the wake of that mortifying nothing-burger answer that Trump gave to Sean Hannity in Wisconsin about his agenda for a second term.

As of now Mr. Trump has no second-term agenda, or even a message beyond four more years of himself. His recent events in Tulsa and Arizona were dominated by personal grievances. He resorted to his familiar themes from 2016 like reducing immigration and denouncing the press, but he offered nothing for those who aren’t already persuaded.

Mr. Trump’s advisers have an agenda that would speak to opportunity for Americans of all races—school choice for K-12, vocational education as an alternative to college, expanded health-care choice, building on the opportunity zones in tax reform, and more. The one issue on which voters now give him an edge over Mr. Biden is the economy. An agenda to revive the economy after the pandemic, and restore the gains for workers of his first three years, would appeal to millions.

I don’t know whether to laugh or cry. Maybe we should send them a note.

“Dear Republican Party:

“Your standard bearer isn’t going to do these things, because he doesn’t know how and moreover, he doesn’t give a damn. He got into this game, and game is all it is to him, because he’s a game show host and a snake oil salesman, and that’s all he knows.

“The GOP is going to take a fall, but do you know when that fall began, ladies and gentlemen? It began the day this clown descended the escalator, with an R behind his name and with paid extras cheering him on. And if you find defeat a bitter pill to swallow, you wrote the prescription yourselves when you put him on the top of your ticket. You wrote, produced and directed this shitshow and you own the copyright, all the negatives, foreign distribution, everything.”

“Trump is your Frankenstein’s monster and you will never be able to claim that you didn’t know when you sold the mad doctor the castle and saw him bringing up wheelbarrows full of body parts, and saw strange lights at night and heard he was doing experiments with electricity that you had no idea anything like this could happen. You were warned, ad nauseum and you laughed and doubled down and made excuses. Just any moment now, your monster was going to morph into some other kind of a being and become “presidential” and be capable of doing the job he was elected to do. And it never happened, because it never could. It wasn’t within the creature’s makeup to do so. Now your monster is out of control and turning on you — finally —  and he’s going to destroy you. And this is surprising, why exactly?” 

Yours truly,

America

I cannot assess the nature and extent of the damage that the GOP will sustain and clearly neither can they at this point. This situation is developing day by day. But right now, if I was a Republican looking for reelection, the last thing I would want is the endorsement of Trump. Mitt Romney and Lisa Murkowski will come out of this smelling like roses, relatively speaking. All the rest who trembled in trepidation of Trump’s Twitter feed are going in the same direction he is — down, down, down, the dark ladder. And it couldn’t happen to a more deserving group of poseurs and sycophants claiming to be public servants and literally ignoring their oaths of office, so that they could bask in the limelight and enjoy the trappings of fame and power. They may have gotten on the right side of Trump but in doing so they got on the wrong side of history. And for that, personally, I can never forgive any of them.

This country had a close encounter with fascism and tyranny, which I frankly hope never to see again in my lifetime. We need to get the guardrails on both the constitution and safeguard our voting system and it wouldn’t hurt to throw out the electoral college, since the one time in 240 years that the occasion arose for which it was designed, a fail-safe mechanism, in case something like this happened, it failed utterly and miserably. If Trump had been smarter, we would be toast. We saw what happened in Germany in the 30’s and it damn near happened to us. We have to make sure this never happens again.

 

 

 

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1 COMMENT

  1. “Will somebody w access to the Oval Office read the WSJ editorial “The Trump Referendum” to President Trump.”

    Why would someone have to “read” something to IMPOTUS???

    Telling.

    • I doubt if he reads anything or has any “normal” reading comprehension, as you and I understand that term. That’s why daily briefings are two or three times a week and supposedly filled with graphs and bullet points to make it easier for him to understand. I can see why McMaster, Mattis and Kelly were ready to tear out their hear. And Grassley is nuts if he thinks Trump is going to change, but I guess you have to keep trying, right?

  2. Even if someone Trump would listen to explains what the WSJ is saying got his attention for a bit it wouldn’t matter. The relatively few times they’ve gotten him to stick to the script (so to speak) he’s been flat and listless while doing so – and it never lasts for more than a few days. It’s just not in his mental makeup to accept advice, much less direction from anyone else. It never has been, and he’s always rationalized his (many) failures as having been other’s fault. He believes that since he pulled off things in 2016 he knows more than anyone else about how to get elected and that he will be able to do it again by firing up his “base” and that the rest of the GOP and rightward leaning independents who are closet conservatives (those folks who won’t admit wanting/intending to vote for him in 2016 and might have again if he’d played things right) will turn out for him because they have nowhere else to go.

    The problem is that while his support among Republicans remains high the GOP has shrunk in size during his tenure. A lot of them have re-registered as independent and while some, perhaps even many will vote for Trump it doesn’t take all that large a percentage of those disaffected Republicans to vote for Biden in a “just this one time I’ll vote Democrat” move, write in some other name, or just not bother voting to screw Trump sideways come election time. Once Trump is gone they’ll turn right around and re-register as Republicans and turn out & vote that way, but this year and in these times even many conservatives realize they have to fall back and regroup even if it means allowing Democrats back into power. I’m sure they are counting on a repeat of what happened with the formation of the “Tea Party” after Obama won his first term and that they can recapture that lighting in the bottle again.

    Ironically, while they are gnashing their teeth over a couple of recent SCOTUS decisions and might lose (again) over Obamacare there are a number of significant decisions to be announced. If as I expect many of them go conservative’s way they will be satisfied with their takeover of the Judiciary and that motivation to stick with Trump will be lessened. Sure, they’d love to have another Federalist Society dude to cement things on SCOTUS in their favor for at least a generation, and have wet dreams about replacing RBG with one of these assholes but will probably sigh and accept that the worst that can happen is a staunch liberal voice gets replaced by a liberal, but less formidable voice on SCOTUS. Even with a Democratic President and Senate they know the odds are good on that score.

    Still, I worry about two things. Cheating by the GOP (with Russia and perhaps even middle eastern hackers including from Israel) screwing with not just voter rolls to create messes on election day but actual election counts is one. The other is there being enough gullible dumbasses out there to be fooled by a couple of “October surprises” we all know will be coming. What are they? Well, of course Trump will announce we have developed a vaccine for Covid-19 that will be administered to every American and sent around the world before the end of the year. In fact (he’ll say), it will start being available a week or so before the election! And it will be great! The best, most effective vaccine ever developed! (I’d better stop predicting the kind of things he’ll say before I puke on my keyboard!). The other is that in mid-October he’ll have his administration put out completely made up numbers that the recession we are in is OVER, and he’ll also fudge the hell out of unemployment numbers. It will all be bullshit of course but he only needs to keep up the façade with “fake news” claims about reporting to the contrary for two or three weeks.

    We know this is coming. We KNOW it. Or we should which is why OUR side needs to be hammering home what Trump and Republicans are going to try and claim starting right now. We need to firmly park this deep in the minds of the public long before it happens so that when it does it won’t be enough to save Trump’s and the GOP’s worthless asses.

    • The planned October surprise is that John Durham, who was appointed by Barr to investigate the “treasonous” investigation of Trump’s campaign, was going to indict some FBI agents. That was going to be the big anti-Deep State coup. With Barr facing impeachment and not looking too credible right now, I think that may fizzle.

  3. Your note to the GOP summarizes about everything I’m thinking in terms of their current garment rending, Ursula. They did this to them. But there are a couple of points I’d add. One, fascism was the ultimate goal at least as far back as Reagan. Trump just made the subtext text is all. Two, they all seem to think they can go back to business as usual when Trump’s gone. That just shows they didn’t learn a damn thing from the W debacle and the lesson is about to get repeated…with uglier results for everybody.

  4. This one is brilliant, Ursula! But don’t think we are out of the hole yet. It is still “happening to us”! And given how he was installed in 2016, there is no guarantee in 2020.

    I love your letter to the GOP! I too had been thinking about Dr Frankenstein (the GOP). He created a monster and they end up destroying each other. But Dr Frankenstein was the REAL monster, the worse monster maybe, the one who can move among us freely because he sounds and looks normal.

    • I might think twice on these words, “because he sounds and looks normal”, Trump’s drop kick to reality has become his new normal, his gyrating wide spread hands, rubber face with smirks and completely stupid string of disconnected word salads …
      Two rows behind him in Tulsa, were those sleepy, yawning, watch checking nimrods … “sounding normal”, is NOW putting every one asleep, because, after all is said and done, DJT has just stepped in a fresh cow-pie, re-doing ,over and over his simple minded ancient rhetoric, and as Grassley’s struggle to get someone to grab Donald’s chin to snap him around and read something to him, Donald would be unconscious 30 seconds into that option started, Trump’s been left on the picnic stove too long, the old blue porcelain coffee pot has seen its last hurrah, coated inside with that burned on gunk that smells like two day-old roadkill ..

      It’s too late Chuck, you needed to start to reel him in a couple years ago, the GOP is going down get used to it ….

    • If you haven’t already, suz, you should check out the Frankenstein series from Hammer Films, the ONLY movie series that treats the creator this way.

  5. Republicans went to bed with a nasty barking dog and got up with not only fleas but mange too. Good riddance to bad rubbish. I hope they all go down in flames.

  6. Lindsey is whining about Himself too. It’s like they’ve forgotten all the enabling they’ve been doing for the last 3.5 years.

    • “Poor little dominoes…your empire took so long to build. And with but a snap of history’s fingers…down it goes!” –Alan Moore, V For Vendetta (original graphic novel, NOT the movie)

  7. Adding a ditto here Ursula!! This was ab/fab brilliant stuff. And the “letter” to the GOP? You really should send it to some Republicans–maybe among them, Mitt? And to the WSJ? And well, while you’d be at it, how about the Post and the Times?

  8. Ursula, I’ve been an unabashed fan of yours for a long time now but this is by far the best & most powerful piece I’ve read. You’ve so beautifully articulated our shared outrage. This is why we have a free press.

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