God I love it when pure stupid is so purely rewarded. MSNBC just reported that both Finland and Swedem will join NATO sometime early this summer, likely within the next 90 days. And with that will make Russia’s position in europe vs NATO totally untenable.
A little while ago, in Stand Up And Take A Bow Fool I, I wrote about this. Because of Putin’s incursion into Ukraine, Sweden and Finland started rethinking the wisdom of joining NATO. I wrote at the time that Putin was basically cutting off his nose to spite his face. Russia shares a 1925 km border with Ukraine. Putin obviously wanted to remove that border as a threat to him. But while Ukraine’s constitution calls for it to join NATO, right now Ukraine isn’t even qualified to join NATO. And Ukraine itself has been rather ambivalent about changing the constitution in return for international guarantees of sovereignty. From where I’m sitting, Putin made a dick move to try to restore some of the former Soviet Union.
When Putin heard that Finland and Sweden were considering joining NATO, he went postal. He threatened dire consequences if they made such a provocative move. My first question was What the fuck was he going to do? He can’t even stay afloat, literally in Ukraine, so now he’s going to invade Finland, a country that already kicked Stalin’s ass? It was ridiculous.
But see, here’s the Mcguffin. Putin attacked a country that wasn’t a NATO signatory, which means that in a Russia-NATO confrontation, NATO wouldn’t enter into or fly over Ukraine territory. And Putin’s basic problem with NAYO is that is is largely a European ground alliance. Most of the NATO countries in Europe are on Russia’s western border. Basically a 1 front war.
There are of course the Baltic States, but they are problematic. Because while they border Russia on the south, they also have the Baltic Sea to their north, which Russia already has a significant presence in. In a Baltic conflict, NATO and the US would have logistical supply and manpower problems.
But with Finland’s approval to NATO, Putin’s stupidity just opened up a whole nother 840 mile, soon to be NATO controlled border, to his north! And as anybody from Napoleon to Hitler can tell you, opening a two front wart is a recipe for disaster. No country is strong enough to successfully man two fronts at once.
In his thirst to restore the former glory of the Soviet Union, Putin not only screwed himself, but he screwed his successor as well, unless he opts for actual democracy. Putin is going to lose in Ukraine. He’ll continue to have a long border on his south, to a country who might not be mickle displeased at giving NATO transit rights during a war, and now he has an 800 mile border on his north that directly threatens St Petersburg. Only Putin could isolate his country even more. And Trump thinks that Putin Is a genius for invading Ukraine. What a fucking moron.