The President And The Pandemic. 150 Days That Changed An Election.

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If I only knew then what I know now

I have been wanting to do this for a while. I’ve been living in the tenement slum of Trump’s head for 5 1/2 years now, and sadly, I’ve paid penthouse rent. But if you’re going to write about somebody for 5+ years, you have to actually pay attention and evaluate what you see and hear. And if you’re going to write honestly, then you have to evaluate honestly.

There can be no doubt about it. By its very nature, the global coronavirus pandemic has become the overarching issue of the 2020 election. Donald Trump certainly didn’t want that. As an unpopular, minority popular vote President, Trump knew he had only one strength to run on, and that was the economy he inherited from Obama. Trump lost control when he failed to realize that the stock market economy was not the economy most Americans lived under. And he compounded that error when he failed to realize that having his Department of Justice argue in favor of overturning the ACA in front of the Supreme Court in the middle of a pandemic was a mistake.

When you look at the coronavirus, and the tragic effect it has had on this country, there are three simple things that you have to remember. 1) It didn’t have to be this way. 2) It never should have turned out this way. 3) It was absolutely inevitable that it would turn out this way.

I know, that sounds like totally incomprehensible mish mash. But to untangle it, you only need to remember the leader involved. And when it comes to Donald Trump, there are only two things you have to remember. 1) He is a compulsive narcissist with a long memory for grudges. 2) He is quite possibly the worst micro manager in the history of mankind.

When I spoke about 150 days in my title, the actual time range is somewhat fluid, depending on what you want to look at. But the time frame that I chose was from about the 15th of March, when first California, followed by Nevada shut down their states with protective measures, until about August 15, after the full effects of Trump’s reopen the economy orders, as well as the effects of the Memorial day and 4th of July weekends had been fully felt.

To understand better what happened, the decisions that were made, and their impact on the outcome, we need to understand the mentality of Trump himself, especially in regards to the presidency. History has shown that the best Presidents are the ones who went in fundamentally understanding the job of the presidency the best. Traditionally, the only things that should land on the President’s desk are things that were unable to be resolved by the chain of command underneath. Think of the President’s desk as a court of last resorts. Therefore, the first job of the President is to use the vetting process for potential nominees to nominate the people best suited to handle the maximum number of problems arising from that agency.

This is antithetical to every cell in Trump’s being. He has spent his life overseeing what is in reality a glorified mom and pop bodega real estate empire, which he learned from watching his father run what was basically a glorified mom and pop bodega real estate empire. And because both Fred Sr. as well as Donald had an almost clinical paranoia about trusting anyone beneath them, they both ran their businesses requiring complete control of anything that happened. This is completely opposite of the way a well tuned presidency should run.

The other mitigating factor that worsened the pandemic is Trump’s tissue paper feelings, and his history of holding grudges for decades if necessary in order to obtain payback. It is widely believed that then-President Barack Obama’s merciless roasting of Trump at the 2011 White House Correspondents Dinner, with Trump in attendance, was a decisive slight that formed his desire to run for President in order to gain revenge. I can think of all kinds of reasons to run for President, but paying back a previous President for some nasty jokes isn’t one of them.

Earlier I said that this pandemic shouldn’t have had to be this way, and in fact it shouldn’t have gone this way, and here’s what I meant. Even a President with a room temperature IQ like Trump should have been able to handle the coronavirus pandemic, and in fact it should have been in his wheelhouse. After all, there is nothing Trump loves more than signing shit, and if he had handled this properly, that’s all he would have had to do.

Trump should not have gone into this crisis unprepared. During the Ebola virus crisis, Obama put together a panel of experts to throw together a flexible, workable framework plan for the United States to use to respond to a pandemic that crested our shores. The experts took their time, and they did it right. When Trump took office, his staff was presented with a ream of binders, carefully prepared, with such common sense things as using the War Powers Act to increase production of PPE’s and masks, federal coordination of the dispersal of supplies, and a national tracking database. The beauty was that no matter what kind of a pandemic we faced, the steps would work. Trump threw them in the shit can out of spite.

The second problem was pure Trump ego. Trump nominated his cabinet members with two basic criteria. One, make sure that they were as corrupt as he was, to provide a comfort zone among thieves, and two, make sure that they would never grab the spotlight from Trump. Unfortunately, if you hire experts to do something, it is inevitable that they will take the spotlight when a crisis in their area of expertise comes up. But Trump would never willingly relinquish the spotlight, and so ended up with a bunch of second rate hacks’ that would have to carry out any orders he gave.

Here’s where the real damage was done, and why it should not have been. Trump should have been ready to begin to activate the necessary arms of the government to respond in the earliest days, and to buoy public support with instant action. They’d have been in Trump’s wheelhouse. Trump went into this crisis with a basic framework already at hand. All Trump needed to do was to sit at the Resolute desk and publicly sign a series of executive orders following the experts advice, and let qualified cabined members execute them. But Trump wouldn’t use Obama’s plan framework, wouldn’t listen to the experts, and had shit for underlings.

Because it was all nothing more than a matter of perception. Trump never gave a fat rat’s ass about the American people, it was all just a political exercise. And Trump realized that his only thin, razor narrow path to reelection was a strong, vibrant economy. And this stupid virus was wrecking his beautiful economy. Trump never made the mental bridge crossing that if the main street economy shut down, and people refused to shop, the Wall Street economy would suffer.

And again Trump’s ego kicked in. When Democratic controlled states like Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Illinois, New Jersey and New York started shutting down to protect their citizens, Trump ridiculed them for it. Worse yet, Trump publicly fought with the Democratic governors, and didn’t mind it a bit when it got out that he wasn’t exactly busting his ass to get them the necessary support. This was a politically stupid thing to do, if for no better reason than because it stripped him of the opportunity to glom some of the credit when those states began to get their virus under control, while states that followed Trump’s lead were just seeing their cases start to spike.

Which led to the third act of this modern Greek tragedy. Democratic governors had the virus under control, but it was a hard fought, bitterly contested victory, and they were in no hurry to reopen their states and have to start all over again. I live in Vegas, and Nevada Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak was gushing in every public pronouncement about the way Nevadan’s had pulled together to get things under control. But Trump was in the hurt locker. True, the stock market was rebounding, fueled by companies that were more or less immune to the effects of the virus, but Main Street was in tatters. Unemployment was a nightmare every week, and so was the fact that every week more and more small businesses shut their doors for the last time. The answer was simple, shut down the read states for 30 days to bring their own infestations under control in line with the rest of the country, and begin a carefully phased approach to reopen them safely.

But that would take time time, and time was something that Trump was running out of. His approval was plummeting, Biden was leading in all polls, and the main culprit was the virus. Instead, Trump chose to ram through reopening the economy nationwide, and the consequences be damned. At the time I wrote that the history of this pandemic in the United States would be written between two holidays, Memorial Day and the 4thy of July. And tragically, I was right. While the blue states opened cautiously, and were able to take steps afterward to fine tune their orders and at least try to mitigate the damage, the red states went full throttle, and the results were devastating. People gathered en masse for both holidays, there were no masks or self distancing, and in the weeks following the holidays, cases in the southwest, south and southeast went on a rocket ship to Mars.

This is nothing more or less than a true American tragedy. As I wrote, it didn’t have to be this way, and it never should have been this way, but for truly spectacularly incompetent leadership. But from where I’m sitting, Trump’s political epitaph will actually be written by the red state of Arizona. In the weeks after the 4th of July, the state of Arizona went through a spike that made it the worst in the nation. After weeks of overburdened hospitals, the GOP Governor finally ordered a closing of all bars and restaurants, and a statewide mandatory mask requirement. And in the next 30 days, the new infection rate in Arizona went down by 75%! Any of them could have done it. At any time. And if they had, then 150,000 Americans would still be alive. 23 fucking days left to go. GOTV! Follow me on Twitter at @RealMurfster35

 

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17 Comments on "The President And The Pandemic. 150 Days That Changed An Election."

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Ursula Faw
Admin

It would be poetic justice that Arizona is what marks the changing of the Trump tide — and that’s where his nemesis McCain ruled. And McCain’s widow has come out against Trump. I do so want to see it blue on the map on November 3 — and Martha McSally sent to the cornfield forever. She’s a horrible politician. She stank as a congresswoman and is even worse as a senator.

old grey dude
Guest

I saw the Cindy McCain ad on the football today in Texas. Biden is on the airwaves. I did not see one trump ad today.

Bareshark
Guest

McSally should never have gotten McCain’s old seat after being a proven loser in 2018. What did the local GOP think was going to happen when they put her there? Her quality as a candidate has not improved in the last two years!

Joseph
Guest

Right there is why a lot of this talk about “rebuilding the GOP” after Trump is doomed to fail if the NATIONAL GOPers who want to rebuild the Party do not pay attention to the state organizations and rid them of the very same mental defectives that helped propel Trump into office in the first place.

Scott Jackson
Guest

Their response brings to mind the scene from holy grail of the peasants in the field arguing with King Arthur. Terry Gilliam,dressed as a woman peasant, yells out as she is crawling in the mud, “there’s some lovely filth over here Dennis.”

Bareshark
Guest

Indeed, Joseph, the denial is strong in this party.

Gus K.
Guest

So does that mean if covid didn’t happen, Trump would have had a real shot at 4 more years?

Bareshark
Guest

Certainly it would have been a better shot, Gus. Mind you, he was still unpopular as hell despite Obama’s economy and it’s a safe bet the Lincoln Project would have been dividing up the GOP. But he MIGHT have been able to eke out a 2004 W victory. As it stands, his bungling of the virus doomed him…and threatens to take the entire GOP with him.

Joseph
Guest

Gods, I hope you’d be incorrect about that “2004 W victory” since W actually won a majority of the vote that year (in fact, he was the first candidate since his father to win more than 50% of the popular vote).

And a good chunk of W’s win that year was due to a lot of “red” states putting anti-marriage equality amendments on their ballots that were intended to turn out the right-wing (especially the evangelical Christians) vote.

Bareshark
Guest

I am not incorrect, Joseph, for the simple fact that the bloom was already coming off W’s rose by that point. His high water mark was his second inauguration and bragging about “political capital to spend”. Then he crashed and burned by trying to put Social Security on the stock market (dodged a major bullet there, given the Lehman Brothers meltdown in 2008) and his botched response to Katrina. Had events moved faster, he’d have been another one termer.

Trump lacks his luck, marginally more competent subordinates and lack of a national crisis that there is no avoiding.

Scott Jackson
Guest

Being a racist, Nazi lovin, draft dodger, pampered rich criminal, murderer & destroyer of children, PROVEN traitor & compulsive liar wasn’t enuf? AMERICA YOU ARE FULL OF SHIT. Time to PROVE me wrong. VOTE.VOTE.VOTE…or kiss your children goodbye.

dana fairfield
Member

Even with Covid, if Trump had executed Obama’s epidemic plan immediately, he might have sailed to reelection. He certainly would have denied the Lincoln Project half ad material. And we would all be complaining that Trump is getting credit for the Obama plan he inherited.

Bareshark
Guest

But that would require doing something put together by the black guy who made fun of him, Dana, which was a bridge too far for his ego.

Scott Jackson
Guest

Like the tin man, he would need to find a heart first.

Denis Elliott
Member

He’s all three of Dorothy’s friends combined – no heart, no brain and no courage. Instead of the South Park “ManBearPig” (half man, half bear and half pig – hey it’s South Park!) Trump is TinLionCrow.

anastasjoy
Member

There was no scenario under which he would have “sailed” to reelection — none whatsoever. And if it hinged on doing anything Obama developed, you’re basically saying “If he were a totally different person.” So no, there is no scenario under which he would have “sailed” to reelection. It’s not in his DNA.

dana fairfield
Member

I think you are giving “sailed” a different interpretation than I intended. As the incumbent who properly managed the virus, he may well have won the popular vote as well well the Electoral college even if only by a very small margin.

If your point is that it is not in his DNA to do the right thing, you’ll get no argument from me.