The knee jerk reaction of the Trump campaign to bad polling news is that, “the polls were wrong in 2016 and they’re wrong now.” The polls in 2016 were not wrong. There were any number of polls that showed Clinton and Trump neck and neck and on a few occasions, Trump’s polling overtook Clinton’s. In this contest, Joe Biden took an early lead in the summer and he has maintained it. That is a different kettle of fish altogether. Politico:

— WAPO/ABC: JOE BIDEN is leading DONALD TRUMP 53-43 among registered voters, and 54-44 among likely voters. WaPo’s Dan Balz and Emily Guskin with more

ABC’S @rickklein: “Clinton won political moderates by 12 points. Biden leads among them by 47 … Clinton won independent women by four points. Biden leads among them by 57 points.”

— NYT/SIENA: BIDEN leads TRUMP 49-41. NYT’s Jonathan Martin and Alex Burns with more

— NBC NEWS/MARIST: MICHIGAN: BIDEN 52, TRUMP 44 … WISCONSIN: BIDEN 54, TRUMP 44.

BIDEN, as you see above, is above 50 in both states.

— CBS: GEORGIA: TRUMP 47, BIDEN 46  NORTH CAROLINA: BIDEN 48, TRUMP 46.

The two states above, Georgia and North Carolina, are in a statistical tie. That is not a good sign for traditionally deep red states. 538 reports current polling in Texas showing Trump leading by one point in one poll and by three points in another. Again, not a terrific sign for the ruby red jewel in the GOP crown.

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14 Comments on "Three New Polls Show Substantial Biden Lead 37 Days Out From Election"

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Bareshark
Guest

A couple of people have said how this has been a fairly boring race going by those polls you mentioned. For all the pyrotechnics Trump keeps dropping into the mix, the numbers have failed to budge in his direction once. And to think of how he blew it with the Ukraine frame…it’s nice seeing this asshole’s worst nightmare come true.

Steven McCrary
Guest

I’m ready to go that voting place RIGHT NOW and vote for Uncle Joe!

Elizabeth
Guest

Ohgod, I so want to believe it’s about over. I really do. But I’m sleeping with one eye open till after he is gone. I just won’t believe it till I know he’s going to be on Marine 1 for his final ride.

Leo Walter
Guest

I want to see somebody sharpening the stake to drive.

Concinnity
Guest

Remember, Hilary won the popular vote by just the amount the polls predicted, she just didn’t win the literally anti-democratic Electoral College.

Bareshark
Guest

You say that as though I need to forget everything else in play.

LDoza
Member

OKAY …I don’t do polls.. esp after 2016, so gonna hold you to all these.
BTW did #TX get done before the new that #StraightTicket OPTION was upheld by Judge? .. AND #Texans NEED to be reminded of that! EG #Vote for @JoeBiden is a vote for @mjhegar and @wendydavis and @GinaOrtiz Jones.. I assume @BetoORourke is on his bullhorn about that.