We’re in the last days of 2019 and when the calendar flips over to 2020, predictions of who will prevail, both in the Democratic primary and in the general election in November will dominate the news. With that in mind, here’s the latest. An MSN poll indicates that if the election were held today, that Trump would lose to the Democratic candidate by eight points. PoliticusUSA:
In the new MSN Poll, the Democratic candidate gets 50% of the vote and Trump gets 42%. A potential reason why Trump is doing so poorly is that by a margin of 57%-31%, likely voters believe that the country is moving in the wrong direction.
Trump doesn’t understand that the direction of the country is not the stock market. Most Americans aren’t invested in the stock market and they don’t care what the market is doing. Voters remain most concerned about healthcare, and the tone of the country.
The most likely reason for Donald Trump losing the 2020 election has nothing to do with jobs, or the economy, or even impeachment. It’s Donald Trump. The mainstream press is not talking about the level of Trump fatigue in the country. Even Trump’s own supporters admit that the constant tweets and attacks and the president’s endless need for validation and drama are exhausting.
Now documentary film maker Michael Moore disagrees. What makes that startling is that Moore predicted Trump would win in 2016. Real Clear Politics:
In an interview with Amy Goodman of Democracy Now!, Michael Moore said if the election were held today that President Trump would win a second term. However, Moore predicted the Democratic candidate for president would win the popular vote count by 4 to 5 million people.
Moore warned the “problem” is support for Trump in the Midwest has not gone down by “one inch” and that Trump voters are “even more rabid” than before because they are afraid he may lose.
“I think if the election were held today,” Moore said of a Trump victory. “Hillary won by 3 million popular votes. I believe whoever the Democrat is next year is going to win by 4 to 5 million popular votes. There’s no question in my mind that people who stayed home, who sat on the bench, they’re going to pour out, in California, New York and — you know, but also in Texas and whatever, I mean, places that Trump will probably win, but, yeah, there’s going to be a much higher percentage of people voting against him.”
It’s hard to believe that everybody who voted for Donald Trump is still rabidly in favor of him, when the Washington Post reports farmers in Trump country having to go on food stamps to survive.
If farmers like these can vote for Trump a second time, when it’s clearly against their own best interests to do so, I will be completely amazed — but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t happen. Get used to this ping pong game of why Trump will win, why he will lose, because we’re going to have eleven months of it. A few facts are unassailable, however: the economy may still be sound now, but more of this trade war madness, and it will tank. Plus, we cannot afford to lose any more foreign markets and we most certainly cannot afford to erode any more foreign alliances. Donald Trump is a threat to this nation’s interests, both domestic and foreign, and four more years of him will be disastrous.