Here are a few images to warm your heart. These show Trump’s approval numbers in all 50 states translated to electoral votes.
OH MY! 👀
Here is Donald Trump's current approval rating in all 50 states converted into Electoral College format, per @Civiqs' daily tracking poll. https://t.co/I9N8fn4FCr pic.twitter.com/dxzyK8VBWQ
— Matt Rogers 🎙 (@Politidope) August 12, 2019
Here is Donald Trump's approval rating today in all 50 states converted into Electoral College format, per @Civiqs daily tracking poll. https://t.co/I9N8fmN4KT pic.twitter.com/e9iMcO5JBB
— Matt Rogers 🎙 (@Politidope) July 24, 2019
As you see, there has been a steady progression towards Trump losing in just the past few weeks. Now, before you start jumping up and down, and putting champagne on ice, bear in mind a couple of key points: 1. The map shows both Texas and Utah flipping blue. Before you believe that that is the case, I would be sure to check the weather report in Hell; 2. Counting on Florida to vote Democratic is a fool’s game. You’ll do better at roulette; 3. The poll cited is Civiqs, which is Markos’ poll. Markos also predicted that Hillary had a 95% chance of winning. Remember staring at that banner for months? It made a believer out of me and then election night I was harshly disabused of the notion, shall we say?
Now, I want to make it clear, I’m not taking a cheap shot at Markos. I was thrown off of his site for reasons best known to him and so be it. I merely point out some cold hard facts: 1. Don’t depend on Texas turning blue. That is the perennial Democratic wet dream and I’ve had it myself. 2. Utah is even more unlikely. Wave at the pigs going by your upstairs windows when that happens. Not to say it can’t, and nobody would love to see it more than me. Just remember that caveat emptor is always a good policy, especially in a political landscape that makes Alice in Wonderland look unremarkable. The dead last thing that we can afford to do as Democrats is believe that the election is in the bag — remember where that got us before?
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10 Comments on "Trump Will Get Clobbered In 2020 If You Translate Current Approval Numbers To Electoral Votes"
The GOP has become a force of evil since Nixon on. Gerrymandering and voter suppression have swayed elections for years. That’s why the GOP has the crooked crew in office that it does.
“It is very hard to predict, especially the future.”
Niels Bohr, later and similar, Yoggi Berra.
And then there’s the Trump Reality Distortion Field to contend with, let alone republican gerrymandering.
As cautious as I also am, I still live in hope of Hell freezing over come Election Night 2020. After all, past is not prologue, people are not content and there is a serious shortage of competence in the Trump ranks. It’ll probably be closer to a close victory if we get it but I’ll take it.
The odds 90 : 10 for Clinton the day of the election. Don’t fall for it
The odds were 90:10 for Clinton Election Day 2016 – don’t be fooled. The senate is more important than president dump
This is exactly what I said in the piece. I looked at polls every single day showing Hillary at 96% for months. And then you know what happened. Not setting myself up again. Although I would love it if Texas, Utah and Florida turned blue. Any or all of them would be simply grand. Not holding my breath.
I worry about Russian interference as well. Mueller’s comment to Congress did not assuage my fears, shall we say? The only thing I think we can count on is getting out the vote, and also, I pray that enough people who voted for Trump have become disillusioned. Some of them have to be, unless they’re blatantly racist or tone deaf to thee point of being comatose.