Republican prospects were rebounding,” just exactly like what Mitch McConnell is currently proclaiming. McConnell says that opposition to Kavanaugh’s confirmation provided, “the kind of adrenaline shot that we had not been able to figure out how to achieve in any other way.” Rothenberg says don’t listen to the hype. Roll Call:
Over the last week, we have seen a seemingly endless flood of stories about new Republican enthusiasm and how that could affect both turnout and election outcomes next month.
“Democrats’ advantage in recent polls may not bring the ‘blue wave’ they’re hoping for,” warned a piece on CNBC.com from an economics reporter, and plenty of talking heads and reporters warned the Kavanaugh Supreme Court fight was energizing Republicans and undercutting the Democratic midterm surge. Take all such assessments with a grain of salt.
My point is not that any single poll, article or talking head is wrong. It is simply a reminder that Republicans (and their media allies over at Fox News) have an interest in arguing that Kavanaugh has changed the midterm dynamics no matter whether or not it has. And even the major mainstream electronic and print media have an incentive to raise questions about a so-called Republican surge.
Rothenberg goes on to point out that fear, anger, and disappointment are greater motivaters of action than satisfaction, relief and euphoria. Rothenberg believes that Democratic desperation will bring out the votes and I concur.
He also goes on to point out that independents can have a major impact, and the independents are polling as leaning Democrat.
Cook Political Report says that these things are pretty much set in stone about six months before the election and they don’t change. Now this is not a call for complacency. We need to make it happen. It looks like we are, but the proof will be in the pudding and the pudding is located in the ballot box.